Univentures Public (Thailand) Market Value

UV Stock  THB 1.59  0.01  0.63%   
Univentures Public's market value is the price at which a share of Univentures Public trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Univentures Public investors about its performance. Univentures Public is selling for 1.59 as of the 22nd of November 2024. This is a 0.63 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's last reported lowest price was 1.59.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Univentures Public and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Univentures Public over a given investment horizon. Check out Univentures Public Correlation, Univentures Public Volatility and Univentures Public Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Univentures Public.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Univentures Public's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Univentures Public is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Univentures Public's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Univentures Public 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Univentures Public's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Univentures Public.
0.00
05/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 29 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Univentures Public on May 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Univentures Public or generate 0.0% return on investment in Univentures Public over 180 days. Univentures Public is related to or competes with Quality Houses, SCB X, and Krung Thai. Univentures Public Company Limited engages in the property development business in Thailand More

Univentures Public Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Univentures Public's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Univentures Public upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Univentures Public Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Univentures Public's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Univentures Public's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Univentures Public historical prices to predict the future Univentures Public's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.081.59160.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.061.26160.26
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.46128.30
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.561.631.71
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Univentures Public. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Univentures Public's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Univentures Public's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Univentures Public.

Univentures Public Backtested Returns

Univentures Public is out of control given 3 months investment horizon. Univentures Public owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.11, which indicates the firm had a 0.11% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have analyzed thirty different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 14.43% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Univentures Public Semi Deviation of 0.6438, coefficient of variation of 1355.34, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0603 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Univentures Public holds a performance score of 8 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The entity has a beta of 0.27, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Univentures Public's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Univentures Public is expected to be smaller as well. Use Univentures Public total risk alpha, downside variance, daily balance of power, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and skewness , to analyze future returns on Univentures Public.

Auto-correlation

    
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No correlation between past and present

Univentures Public has no correlation between past and present. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Univentures Public time series from 26th of May 2024 to 24th of August 2024 and 24th of August 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Univentures Public price movement. The serial correlation of 0.0 indicates that just 0.0% of current Univentures Public price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.0
Spearman Rank Test0.23
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.05

Univentures Public lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Univentures Public stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Univentures Public's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Univentures Public returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Univentures Public has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Univentures Public regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Univentures Public stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Univentures Public stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Univentures Public stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Univentures Public Lagged Returns

When evaluating Univentures Public's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Univentures Public stock have on its future price. Univentures Public autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Univentures Public autocorrelation shows the relationship between Univentures Public stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Univentures Public.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Univentures Stock

Univentures Public financial ratios help investors to determine whether Univentures Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Univentures with respect to the benefits of owning Univentures Public security.