International Growth Fund Market Value

VCINX Fund  USD 11.91  0.01  0.08%   
International Growth's market value is the price at which a share of International Growth trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of International Growth Fund investors about its performance. International Growth is trading at 11.91 as of the 29th of November 2024; that is 0.08 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 11.9.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of International Growth Fund and determine expected loss or profit from investing in International Growth over a given investment horizon. Check out International Growth Correlation, International Growth Volatility and International Growth Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on International Growth.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between International Growth's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if International Growth is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, International Growth's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

International Growth 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to International Growth's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of International Growth.
0.00
01/09/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 10 months and 22 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in International Growth on January 9, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding International Growth Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in International Growth over 690 days. International Growth is related to or competes with Europacific Growth, Europacific Growth, HUMANA, Barloworld, Thrivent High, Morningstar Unconstrained, and High-yield Municipal. The subadviser seeks to achieve the funds objective by investing primarily in established companies on an international ... More

International Growth Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure International Growth's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess International Growth Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

International Growth Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for International Growth's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as International Growth's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use International Growth historical prices to predict the future International Growth's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.8711.9112.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.8811.9212.96
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.8911.9312.97
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.5611.9212.27
Details

International Growth Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider International Mutual Fund to be very steady. International Growth holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0193, which attests that the entity had a 0.0193% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-one technical indicators for International Growth, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out International Growth's Standard Deviation of 1.04, insignificant risk adjusted performance, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02) to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.02%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.66, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, International Growth's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding International Growth is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.75  

Almost perfect reverse predictability

International Growth Fund has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between International Growth time series from 9th of January 2023 to 20th of December 2023 and 20th of December 2023 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of International Growth price movement. The serial correlation of -0.75 indicates that around 75.0% of current International Growth price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.75
Spearman Rank Test-0.4
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.15

International Growth lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is International Growth mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting International Growth's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of International Growth returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that International Growth has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

International Growth regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If International Growth mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if International Growth mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in International Growth mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

International Growth Lagged Returns

When evaluating International Growth's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of International Growth mutual fund have on its future price. International Growth autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, International Growth autocorrelation shows the relationship between International Growth mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in International Growth Fund.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in International Mutual Fund

International Growth financial ratios help investors to determine whether International Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in International with respect to the benefits of owning International Growth security.
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