Vanguard Developed Markets Fund Market Value

VDVIX Fund  USD 12.35  0.05  0.41%   
Vanguard Developed's market value is the price at which a share of Vanguard Developed trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Vanguard Developed Markets investors about its performance. Vanguard Developed is trading at 12.35 as of the 28th of November 2024; that is 0.41 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 12.3.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Vanguard Developed Markets and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Vanguard Developed over a given investment horizon. Check out Vanguard Developed Correlation, Vanguard Developed Volatility and Vanguard Developed Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Vanguard Developed.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Vanguard Developed's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vanguard Developed is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vanguard Developed's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Vanguard Developed 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Vanguard Developed's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Vanguard Developed.
0.00
05/08/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 6 months and 24 days
11/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Vanguard Developed on May 8, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Vanguard Developed Markets or generate 0.0% return on investment in Vanguard Developed over 570 days. Vanguard Developed is related to or competes with Vanguard Total, Vanguard Total, Vanguard Total, Vanguard Total, Vanguard Total, Vanguard Developed, and Vanguard Developed. The fund employs an indexing investment approach designed to track the performance of the FTSE Developed All Cap ex US I... More

Vanguard Developed Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Vanguard Developed's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Vanguard Developed Markets upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Vanguard Developed Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Vanguard Developed's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Vanguard Developed's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Vanguard Developed historical prices to predict the future Vanguard Developed's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.5212.3513.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.9311.7612.59
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.4412.2713.10
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.1212.3112.49
Details

Vanguard Developed Backtested Returns

Vanguard Developed owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0965, which indicates the fund had a -0.0965% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Vanguard Developed Markets exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Vanguard Developed's Coefficient Of Variation of (1,156), variance of 0.6701, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.07) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of -0.0444, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Vanguard Developed are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Vanguard Developed is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.18  

Very weak predictability

Vanguard Developed Markets has very weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Vanguard Developed time series from 8th of May 2023 to 17th of February 2024 and 17th of February 2024 to 28th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Vanguard Developed price movement. The serial correlation of 0.18 indicates that over 18.0% of current Vanguard Developed price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.18
Spearman Rank Test0.23
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.11

Vanguard Developed lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Vanguard Developed mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Vanguard Developed's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Vanguard Developed returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Vanguard Developed has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Vanguard Developed regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Vanguard Developed mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Vanguard Developed mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Vanguard Developed mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Vanguard Developed Lagged Returns

When evaluating Vanguard Developed's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Vanguard Developed mutual fund have on its future price. Vanguard Developed autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Vanguard Developed autocorrelation shows the relationship between Vanguard Developed mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Vanguard Developed Markets.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Vanguard Mutual Fund

Vanguard Developed financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vanguard Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vanguard with respect to the benefits of owning Vanguard Developed security.
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