Vela Large Cap Fund Market Value

VELIX Fund  USD 18.30  0.10  0.55%   
Vela Large's market value is the price at which a share of Vela Large trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Vela Large Cap investors about its performance. Vela Large is trading at 18.30 as of the 26th of November 2024; that is 0.55 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 18.2.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Vela Large Cap and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Vela Large over a given investment horizon. Check out Vela Large Correlation, Vela Large Volatility and Vela Large Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Vela Large.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Vela Large's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vela Large is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vela Large's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Vela Large 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Vela Large's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Vela Large.
0.00
01/31/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 9 months and 28 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Vela Large on January 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Vela Large Cap or generate 0.0% return on investment in Vela Large over 300 days. Vela Large is related to or competes with Vela International, Vela International, Vela Small, Vela Small, Vela Income, and Vela Income. The fund, under normal market conditions, invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in long and short positions in U... More

Vela Large Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Vela Large's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Vela Large Cap upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Vela Large Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Vela Large's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Vela Large's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Vela Large historical prices to predict the future Vela Large's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.7818.3018.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.6518.1718.69
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
17.6618.1818.70
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
17.8918.1118.34
Details

Vela Large Cap Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Vela Mutual Fund to be very steady. Vela Large Cap owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.13, which indicates the fund had a 0.13% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Vela Large Cap, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please validate Vela Large's Semi Deviation of 0.3226, risk adjusted performance of 0.0956, and Coefficient Of Variation of 761.36 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0687%. The entity has a beta of -0.0264, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Vela Large are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Vela Large is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.80  

Very good predictability

Vela Large Cap has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Vela Large time series from 31st of January 2024 to 29th of June 2024 and 29th of June 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Vela Large Cap price movement. The serial correlation of 0.8 indicates that around 80.0% of current Vela Large price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.8
Spearman Rank Test0.79
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.18

Vela Large Cap lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Vela Large mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Vela Large's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Vela Large returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Vela Large has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Vela Large regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Vela Large mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Vela Large mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Vela Large mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Vela Large Lagged Returns

When evaluating Vela Large's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Vela Large mutual fund have on its future price. Vela Large autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Vela Large autocorrelation shows the relationship between Vela Large mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Vela Large Cap.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Vela Mutual Fund

Vela Large financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vela Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vela with respect to the benefits of owning Vela Large security.
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