Valora Re (Brazil) Market Value

VGIR11 Fund  BRL 9.44  0.03  0.32%   
Valora Re's market value is the price at which a share of Valora Re trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Valora Re III investors about its performance. Valora Re is trading at 9.44 as of the 26th of November 2024, a 0.32% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 9.47.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Valora Re III and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Valora Re over a given investment horizon. Check out Valora Re Correlation, Valora Re Volatility and Valora Re Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Valora Re.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Valora Re's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Valora Re is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Valora Re's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Valora Re 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Valora Re's fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Valora Re.
0.00
10/27/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Valora Re on October 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Valora Re III or generate 0.0% return on investment in Valora Re over 30 days. Valora Re is related to or competes with BTG Pactual, Plano Plano, Companhia Habitasul, Procter Gamble, Telefonaktiebolaget, Cable One, and ATMA Participaes. More

Valora Re Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Valora Re's fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Valora Re III upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Valora Re Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Valora Re's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Valora Re's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Valora Re historical prices to predict the future Valora Re's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.769.4710.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.928.6310.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.589.2910.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.369.519.65
Details

Valora Re III Backtested Returns

Valora Re III owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.13, which indicates the fund had a -0.13% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Valora Re III exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Valora Re's Coefficient Of Variation of (1,101), risk adjusted performance of (0.07), and Variance of 0.486 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of -0.14, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Valora Re are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Valora Re is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.55  

Modest predictability

Valora Re III has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Valora Re time series from 27th of October 2024 to 11th of November 2024 and 11th of November 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Valora Re III price movement. The serial correlation of 0.55 indicates that about 55.0% of current Valora Re price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.55
Spearman Rank Test0.62
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Valora Re III lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Valora Re fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Valora Re's fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Valora Re returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Valora Re has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Valora Re regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Valora Re fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Valora Re fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Valora Re fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Valora Re Lagged Returns

When evaluating Valora Re's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Valora Re fund have on its future price. Valora Re autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Valora Re autocorrelation shows the relationship between Valora Re fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Valora Re III.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Valora Fund

Valora Re financial ratios help investors to determine whether Valora Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Valora with respect to the benefits of owning Valora Re security.
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