Vanguard Global Capital Fund Market Value

VGPMX Fund  USD 13.58  0.08  0.59%   
Vanguard Global's market value is the price at which a share of Vanguard Global trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Vanguard Global Capital investors about its performance. Vanguard Global is trading at 13.58 as of the 27th of November 2024; that is 0.59 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 13.66.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Vanguard Global Capital and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Vanguard Global over a given investment horizon. Check out Vanguard Global Correlation, Vanguard Global Volatility and Vanguard Global Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Vanguard Global.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Vanguard Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vanguard Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vanguard Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Vanguard Global 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Vanguard Global's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Vanguard Global.
0.00
10/28/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Vanguard Global on October 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Vanguard Global Capital or generate 0.0% return on investment in Vanguard Global over 30 days. Vanguard Global is related to or competes with Vanguard Energy, Vanguard Emerging, Vanguard Reit, Vanguard Pacific, and Vanguard Inflation-protec. The fund invests in U.S. and foreign equity securities More

Vanguard Global Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Vanguard Global's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Vanguard Global Capital upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Vanguard Global Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Vanguard Global's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Vanguard Global's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Vanguard Global historical prices to predict the future Vanguard Global's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.6613.6614.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.5512.5515.03
Details

Vanguard Global Capital Backtested Returns

Vanguard Global Capital owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -9.0E-4, which indicates the fund had a -9.0E-4% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Vanguard Global Capital exposes twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Vanguard Global's Semi Deviation of 1.05, risk adjusted performance of 0.0198, and Coefficient Of Variation of 4404.18 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of -0.11, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Vanguard Global are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Vanguard Global is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.17  

Insignificant reverse predictability

Vanguard Global Capital has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Vanguard Global time series from 28th of October 2024 to 12th of November 2024 and 12th of November 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Vanguard Global Capital price movement. The serial correlation of -0.17 indicates that over 17.0% of current Vanguard Global price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.17
Spearman Rank Test-0.33
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

Vanguard Global Capital lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Vanguard Global mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Vanguard Global's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Vanguard Global returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Vanguard Global has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Vanguard Global regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Vanguard Global mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Vanguard Global mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Vanguard Global mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Vanguard Global Lagged Returns

When evaluating Vanguard Global's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Vanguard Global mutual fund have on its future price. Vanguard Global autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Vanguard Global autocorrelation shows the relationship between Vanguard Global mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Vanguard Global Capital.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Vanguard Mutual Fund

Vanguard Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vanguard Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vanguard with respect to the benefits of owning Vanguard Global security.
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