Vanguard High Dividend Fund Market Value

VHYAX Fund  USD 40.30  0.36  0.90%   
Vanguard High's market value is the price at which a share of Vanguard High trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Vanguard High Dividend investors about its performance. Vanguard High is trading at 40.30 as of the 24th of November 2024; that is 0.90 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 39.94.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Vanguard High Dividend and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Vanguard High over a given investment horizon. Check out Vanguard High Correlation, Vanguard High Volatility and Vanguard High Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Vanguard High.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Vanguard High's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vanguard High is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vanguard High's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Vanguard High 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Vanguard High's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Vanguard High.
0.00
10/25/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Vanguard High on October 25, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Vanguard High Dividend or generate 0.0% return on investment in Vanguard High over 30 days. Vanguard High is related to or competes with Vanguard Dividend, Vanguard Value, Vanguard Reit, Vanguard Growth, and Vanguard Equity. The manager employs an indexing investment approach designed to track the performance of the index, which consists of co... More

Vanguard High Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Vanguard High's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Vanguard High Dividend upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Vanguard High Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Vanguard High's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Vanguard High's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Vanguard High historical prices to predict the future Vanguard High's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
39.6040.3041.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
39.1739.8740.57
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
39.4340.1340.83
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
39.8440.1840.52
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Vanguard High. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Vanguard High's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Vanguard High's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Vanguard High Dividend.

Vanguard High Dividend Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Vanguard Mutual Fund to be very steady. Vanguard High Dividend owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.15, which indicates the fund had a 0.15% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Vanguard High Dividend, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please validate Vanguard High's Coefficient Of Variation of 571.04, risk adjusted performance of 0.1335, and Semi Deviation of 0.3328 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.1%. The entity has a beta of 0.86, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Vanguard High returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Vanguard High is expected to follow.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.82  

Very good predictability

Vanguard High Dividend has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Vanguard High time series from 25th of October 2024 to 9th of November 2024 and 9th of November 2024 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Vanguard High Dividend price movement. The serial correlation of 0.82 indicates that around 82.0% of current Vanguard High price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.82
Spearman Rank Test0.17
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.1

Vanguard High Dividend lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Vanguard High mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Vanguard High's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Vanguard High returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Vanguard High has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Vanguard High regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Vanguard High mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Vanguard High mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Vanguard High mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Vanguard High Lagged Returns

When evaluating Vanguard High's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Vanguard High mutual fund have on its future price. Vanguard High autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Vanguard High autocorrelation shows the relationship between Vanguard High mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Vanguard High Dividend.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Vanguard Mutual Fund

Vanguard High financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vanguard Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vanguard with respect to the benefits of owning Vanguard High security.
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