VIB Vermgen (Germany) Market Value

VIH1 Stock  EUR 10.10  0.18  1.75%   
VIB Vermgen's market value is the price at which a share of VIB Vermgen trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of VIB Vermgen AG investors about its performance. VIB Vermgen is selling for under 10.10 as of the 29th of November 2024; that is 1.75 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's last reported lowest price was 10.1.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of VIB Vermgen AG and determine expected loss or profit from investing in VIB Vermgen over a given investment horizon. Check out VIB Vermgen Correlation, VIB Vermgen Volatility and VIB Vermgen Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on VIB Vermgen.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between VIB Vermgen's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if VIB Vermgen is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, VIB Vermgen's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

VIB Vermgen 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to VIB Vermgen's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of VIB Vermgen.
0.00
10/30/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in VIB Vermgen on October 30, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding VIB Vermgen AG or generate 0.0% return on investment in VIB Vermgen over 30 days. VIB Vermgen is related to or competes with Apple, Apple, Apple, Apple, Apple, Apple, and Microsoft. More

VIB Vermgen Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure VIB Vermgen's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess VIB Vermgen AG upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

VIB Vermgen Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for VIB Vermgen's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as VIB Vermgen's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use VIB Vermgen historical prices to predict the future VIB Vermgen's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.3310.1012.87
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.4210.1912.96
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.9610.7313.49
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.4510.6211.80
Details

VIB Vermgen AG Backtested Returns

VIB Vermgen appears to be somewhat reliable, given 3 months investment horizon. VIB Vermgen AG retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.19, which indicates the firm had a 0.19% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. By inspecting VIB Vermgen's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.52% is justified by implied risk. Please review VIB Vermgen's risk adjusted performance of 0.1527, and Downside Deviation of 3.37 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, VIB Vermgen holds a performance score of 14. The entity owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.0656, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, VIB Vermgen's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding VIB Vermgen is expected to be smaller as well. Please check VIB Vermgen's downside deviation, information ratio, total risk alpha, as well as the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to make a quick decision on whether VIB Vermgen's current price history will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.34  

Below average predictability

VIB Vermgen AG has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between VIB Vermgen time series from 30th of October 2024 to 14th of November 2024 and 14th of November 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of VIB Vermgen AG price movement. The serial correlation of 0.34 indicates that nearly 34.0% of current VIB Vermgen price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.34
Spearman Rank Test0.15
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

VIB Vermgen AG lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is VIB Vermgen stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting VIB Vermgen's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of VIB Vermgen returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that VIB Vermgen has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

VIB Vermgen regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If VIB Vermgen stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if VIB Vermgen stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in VIB Vermgen stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

VIB Vermgen Lagged Returns

When evaluating VIB Vermgen's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of VIB Vermgen stock have on its future price. VIB Vermgen autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, VIB Vermgen autocorrelation shows the relationship between VIB Vermgen stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in VIB Vermgen AG.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Thematic Opportunities

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Additional Tools for VIB Stock Analysis

When running VIB Vermgen's price analysis, check to measure VIB Vermgen's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy VIB Vermgen is operating at the current time. Most of VIB Vermgen's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of VIB Vermgen's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move VIB Vermgen's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of VIB Vermgen to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.