Vinci Logistica (Brazil) Market Value

VILG11 Etf  BRL 78.35  0.33  0.42%   
Vinci Logistica's market value is the price at which a share of Vinci Logistica trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Vinci Logistica Fundo investors about its performance. Vinci Logistica is trading at 78.35 as of the 28th of November 2024, a 0.42 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The etf's open price was 78.68.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Vinci Logistica Fundo and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Vinci Logistica over a given investment horizon. Check out Vinci Logistica Correlation, Vinci Logistica Volatility and Vinci Logistica Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Vinci Logistica.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Vinci Logistica's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vinci Logistica is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vinci Logistica's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Vinci Logistica 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Vinci Logistica's etf what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Vinci Logistica.
0.00
10/29/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Vinci Logistica on October 29, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Vinci Logistica Fundo or generate 0.0% return on investment in Vinci Logistica over 30 days. More

Vinci Logistica Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Vinci Logistica's etf current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Vinci Logistica Fundo upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Vinci Logistica Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Vinci Logistica's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Vinci Logistica's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Vinci Logistica historical prices to predict the future Vinci Logistica's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
77.2778.3579.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
73.3374.4186.19
Details

Vinci Logistica Fundo Backtested Returns

Vinci Logistica Fundo owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.16, which indicates the etf had a -0.16% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Vinci Logistica Fundo exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Vinci Logistica's Variance of 1.14, coefficient of variation of (632.16), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.12) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of -0.0683, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Vinci Logistica are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Vinci Logistica is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.43  

Modest reverse predictability

Vinci Logistica Fundo has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Vinci Logistica time series from 29th of October 2024 to 13th of November 2024 and 13th of November 2024 to 28th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Vinci Logistica Fundo price movement. The serial correlation of -0.43 indicates that just about 43.0% of current Vinci Logistica price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.43
Spearman Rank Test-0.85
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.18

Vinci Logistica Fundo lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Vinci Logistica etf's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Vinci Logistica's etf expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Vinci Logistica returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Vinci Logistica has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the etf is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Vinci Logistica regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Vinci Logistica etf is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Vinci Logistica etf is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Vinci Logistica etf over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Vinci Logistica Lagged Returns

When evaluating Vinci Logistica's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Vinci Logistica etf have on its future price. Vinci Logistica autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Vinci Logistica autocorrelation shows the relationship between Vinci Logistica etf current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Vinci Logistica Fundo.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Vinci Etf

Vinci Logistica financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vinci Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vinci with respect to the benefits of owning Vinci Logistica security.