Vanguard Value Index Fund Market Value

VIVIX Fund  USD 70.72  0.03  0.04%   
Vanguard Value's market value is the price at which a share of Vanguard Value trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Vanguard Value Index investors about its performance. Vanguard Value is trading at 70.72 as of the 28th of November 2024; that is 0.04 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 70.75.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Vanguard Value Index and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Vanguard Value over a given investment horizon. Check out Vanguard Value Correlation, Vanguard Value Volatility and Vanguard Value Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Vanguard Value.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Vanguard Value's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vanguard Value is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vanguard Value's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Vanguard Value 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Vanguard Value's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Vanguard Value.
0.00
10/29/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Vanguard Value on October 29, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Vanguard Value Index or generate 0.0% return on investment in Vanguard Value over 30 days. Vanguard Value is related to or competes with Icon Natural, Fidelity Advisor, Franklin Natural, Victory Global, Hennessy, and Dreyfus Natural. The fund employs an indexing investment approach designed to track the performance of the CRSP US Large Cap Value Index,... More

Vanguard Value Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Vanguard Value's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Vanguard Value Index upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Vanguard Value Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Vanguard Value's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Vanguard Value's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Vanguard Value historical prices to predict the future Vanguard Value's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
70.0570.7171.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
69.3470.0077.79
Details

Vanguard Value Index Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider VANGUARD Mutual Fund to be very steady. Vanguard Value Index owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.13, which indicates the fund had a 0.13% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Vanguard Value Index, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please validate Vanguard Value's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1154, semi deviation of 0.3868, and Coefficient Of Variation of 654.65 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.085%. The entity has a beta of 0.8, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Vanguard Value's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Vanguard Value is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.93  

Excellent predictability

Vanguard Value Index has excellent predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Vanguard Value time series from 29th of October 2024 to 13th of November 2024 and 13th of November 2024 to 28th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Vanguard Value Index price movement. The serial correlation of 0.93 indicates that approximately 93.0% of current Vanguard Value price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.93
Spearman Rank Test0.68
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.68

Vanguard Value Index lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Vanguard Value mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Vanguard Value's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Vanguard Value returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Vanguard Value has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Vanguard Value regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Vanguard Value mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Vanguard Value mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Vanguard Value mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Vanguard Value Lagged Returns

When evaluating Vanguard Value's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Vanguard Value mutual fund have on its future price. Vanguard Value autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Vanguard Value autocorrelation shows the relationship between Vanguard Value mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Vanguard Value Index.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in VANGUARD Mutual Fund

Vanguard Value financial ratios help investors to determine whether VANGUARD Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in VANGUARD with respect to the benefits of owning Vanguard Value security.
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