Value Line Small Fund Market Value

VLEOX Fund  USD 64.45  0.62  0.95%   
Value Line's market value is the price at which a share of Value Line trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Value Line Small investors about its performance. Value Line is trading at 64.45 as of the 28th of November 2024; that is 0.95% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 65.07.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Value Line Small and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Value Line over a given investment horizon. Check out Value Line Correlation, Value Line Volatility and Value Line Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Value Line.
For more information on how to buy Value Mutual Fund please use our How to Invest in Value Line guide.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Value Line's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Value Line is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Value Line's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Value Line 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Value Line's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Value Line.
0.00
12/09/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
11/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Value Line on December 9, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Value Line Small or generate 0.0% return on investment in Value Line over 720 days. Value Line is related to or competes with Putnam Equity, Putnam Growth, HUMANA, Barloworld, Morningstar Unconstrained, Thrivent High, and High-yield Municipal. Under normal circumstances, the adviser invests at least 80 percent of the funds assets in stocks of U.S More

Value Line Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Value Line's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Value Line Small upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Value Line Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Value Line's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Value Line's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Value Line historical prices to predict the future Value Line's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
63.9365.0766.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
56.7757.9171.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
63.1964.3365.46
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
64.0964.8465.59
Details

Value Line Small Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Value Mutual Fund to be very steady. Value Line Small owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.11, which indicates the fund had a 0.11% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Value Line Small, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please validate Value Line's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1055, coefficient of variation of 746.85, and Semi Deviation of 0.8474 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.12%. The entity has a beta of 1.29, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Value Line will likely underperform.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.38  

Below average predictability

Value Line Small has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Value Line time series from 9th of December 2022 to 4th of December 2023 and 4th of December 2023 to 28th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Value Line Small price movement. The serial correlation of 0.38 indicates that just about 38.0% of current Value Line price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.38
Spearman Rank Test0.46
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance12.6

Value Line Small lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Value Line mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Value Line's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Value Line returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Value Line has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Value Line regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Value Line mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Value Line mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Value Line mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Value Line Lagged Returns

When evaluating Value Line's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Value Line mutual fund have on its future price. Value Line autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Value Line autocorrelation shows the relationship between Value Line mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Value Line Small.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Value Mutual Fund

Value Line financial ratios help investors to determine whether Value Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Value with respect to the benefits of owning Value Line security.
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