Vietnam National (Vietnam) Market Value

VNR Stock   23,000  200.00  0.88%   
Vietnam National's market value is the price at which a share of Vietnam National trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Vietnam National Reinsurance investors about its performance. Vietnam National is selling at 23000.00 as of the 22nd of November 2024; that is 0.88 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 22800.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Vietnam National Reinsurance and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Vietnam National over a given investment horizon. Check out Vietnam National Correlation, Vietnam National Volatility and Vietnam National Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Vietnam National.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Vietnam National's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vietnam National is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vietnam National's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Vietnam National 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Vietnam National's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Vietnam National.
0.00
12/03/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Vietnam National on December 3, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Vietnam National Reinsurance or generate 0.0% return on investment in Vietnam National over 720 days. Vietnam National is related to or competes with Sao Vang, Century Synthetic, Construction, Saigon Telecommunicatio, Viet Thanh, South Basic, and Thanh Dat. More

Vietnam National Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Vietnam National's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Vietnam National Reinsurance upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Vietnam National Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Vietnam National's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Vietnam National's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Vietnam National historical prices to predict the future Vietnam National's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22,99923,00023,001
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22,46122,46225,300
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
23,03523,03623,037
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
22,53323,19423,856
Details

Vietnam National Rei Backtested Returns

Vietnam National Rei owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.15, which indicates the firm had a -0.15% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Vietnam National Reinsurance exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Vietnam National's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.09), variance of 0.7471, and Coefficient Of Variation of (827.06) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.0408, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Vietnam National's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Vietnam National is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Vietnam National Rei has a negative expected return of -0.13%. Please make sure to validate Vietnam National's value at risk, as well as the relationship between the daily balance of power and price action indicator , to decide if Vietnam National Rei performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.70  

Good predictability

Vietnam National Reinsurance has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Vietnam National time series from 3rd of December 2022 to 28th of November 2023 and 28th of November 2023 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Vietnam National Rei price movement. The serial correlation of 0.7 indicates that around 70.0% of current Vietnam National price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.7
Spearman Rank Test0.58
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.1 M

Vietnam National Rei lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Vietnam National stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Vietnam National's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Vietnam National returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Vietnam National has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Vietnam National regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Vietnam National stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Vietnam National stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Vietnam National stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Vietnam National Lagged Returns

When evaluating Vietnam National's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Vietnam National stock have on its future price. Vietnam National autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Vietnam National autocorrelation shows the relationship between Vietnam National stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Vietnam National Reinsurance.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Pair Trading with Vietnam National

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Vietnam National position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Vietnam National will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Vietnam Stock

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  0.83APG APG Securities JointPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Vietnam National could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Vietnam National when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Vietnam National - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Vietnam National Reinsurance to buy it.
The correlation of Vietnam National is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Vietnam National moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Vietnam National Rei moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Vietnam National can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Vietnam Stock

Vietnam National financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vietnam Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vietnam with respect to the benefits of owning Vietnam National security.