Vanguard USD (Netherlands) Market Value

VUTY Etf  EUR 20.72  0.02  0.1%   
Vanguard USD's market value is the price at which a share of Vanguard USD trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Vanguard USD Treasury investors about its performance. Vanguard USD is selling for under 20.72 as of the 12th of December 2024; that is 0.1 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The etf's lowest day price was 20.68.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Vanguard USD Treasury and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Vanguard USD over a given investment horizon. Check out Vanguard USD Correlation, Vanguard USD Volatility and Vanguard USD Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Vanguard USD.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Vanguard USD's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vanguard USD is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vanguard USD's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Vanguard USD 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Vanguard USD's etf what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Vanguard USD.
0.00
10/13/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 2 days
12/12/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Vanguard USD on October 13, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Vanguard USD Treasury or generate 0.0% return on investment in Vanguard USD over 60 days. Vanguard USD is related to or competes with SPDR Dow, IShares Core, IShares SP, IShares Core, IShares MSCI, and IShares MSCI. Vanguard USD Treasury Bond UCITS ETF seeks to track the performance of the Index, a widely recognised benchmark designed... More

Vanguard USD Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Vanguard USD's etf current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Vanguard USD Treasury upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Vanguard USD Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Vanguard USD's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Vanguard USD's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Vanguard USD historical prices to predict the future Vanguard USD's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.3520.7221.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.2320.6020.97
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.1320.4920.86
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.5320.6520.76
Details

Vanguard USD Treasury Backtested Returns

Currently, Vanguard USD Treasury is very steady. Vanguard USD Treasury owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.14, which indicates the etf had a 0.14% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Vanguard USD Treasury, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the etf. Please validate Vanguard USD's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0644, coefficient of variation of 975.84, and Semi Deviation of 0.1671 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0505%. The entity has a beta of 0.0553, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Vanguard USD's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Vanguard USD is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.19  

Insignificant reverse predictability

Vanguard USD Treasury has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Vanguard USD time series from 13th of October 2024 to 12th of November 2024 and 12th of November 2024 to 12th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Vanguard USD Treasury price movement. The serial correlation of -0.19 indicates that over 19.0% of current Vanguard USD price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.19
Spearman Rank Test0.0
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.03

Vanguard USD Treasury lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Vanguard USD etf's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Vanguard USD's etf expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Vanguard USD returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Vanguard USD has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the etf is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Vanguard USD regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Vanguard USD etf is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Vanguard USD etf is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Vanguard USD etf over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Vanguard USD Lagged Returns

When evaluating Vanguard USD's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Vanguard USD etf have on its future price. Vanguard USD autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Vanguard USD autocorrelation shows the relationship between Vanguard USD etf current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Vanguard USD Treasury.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

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Other Information on Investing in Vanguard Etf

Vanguard USD financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vanguard Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vanguard with respect to the benefits of owning Vanguard USD security.