Vanguard International Growth Fund Market Value

VWILX Fund  USD 115.16  1.00  0.88%   
Vanguard International's market value is the price at which a share of Vanguard International trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Vanguard International Growth investors about its performance. Vanguard International is trading at 115.16 as of the 26th of November 2024; that is 0.88 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 114.16.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Vanguard International Growth and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Vanguard International over a given investment horizon. Check out Vanguard International Correlation, Vanguard International Volatility and Vanguard International Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Vanguard International.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Vanguard International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vanguard International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vanguard International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Vanguard International 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Vanguard International's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Vanguard International.
0.00
07/05/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 4 months and 26 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Vanguard International on July 5, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Vanguard International Growth or generate 0.0% return on investment in Vanguard International over 510 days. Vanguard International is related to or competes with Vanguard Primecap, Vanguard Capital, Vanguard Explorer, Vanguard, and Vanguard Windsor. The fund invests mainly in the stocks of companies located outside the United States and is expected to diversify its as... More

Vanguard International Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Vanguard International's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Vanguard International Growth upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Vanguard International Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Vanguard International's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Vanguard International's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Vanguard International historical prices to predict the future Vanguard International's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
114.15115.16116.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
113.75114.76115.77
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
112.25113.26114.26
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
112.19114.03115.88
Details

Vanguard International Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Vanguard Mutual Fund to be very steady. Vanguard International owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0363, which indicates the fund had a 0.0363% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Vanguard International Growth, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please validate Vanguard International's Coefficient Of Variation of 19173.4, semi deviation of 1.14, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0064 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0362%. The entity has a beta of 0.62, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Vanguard International's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Vanguard International is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.08  

Virtually no predictability

Vanguard International Growth has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Vanguard International time series from 5th of July 2023 to 16th of March 2024 and 16th of March 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Vanguard International price movement. The serial correlation of 0.08 indicates that barely 8.0% of current Vanguard International price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.08
Spearman Rank Test0.19
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance15.75

Vanguard International lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Vanguard International mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Vanguard International's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Vanguard International returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Vanguard International has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Vanguard International regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Vanguard International mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Vanguard International mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Vanguard International mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Vanguard International Lagged Returns

When evaluating Vanguard International's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Vanguard International mutual fund have on its future price. Vanguard International autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Vanguard International autocorrelation shows the relationship between Vanguard International mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Vanguard International Growth.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Vanguard Mutual Fund

Vanguard International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vanguard Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vanguard with respect to the benefits of owning Vanguard International security.
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