Wasatch Greater China Fund Market Value

WAGCX Fund  USD 4.72  0.10  2.16%   
Wasatch Greater's market value is the price at which a share of Wasatch Greater trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Wasatch Greater China investors about its performance. Wasatch Greater is trading at 4.72 as of the 30th of November 2024; that is 2.16 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 4.62.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Wasatch Greater China and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Wasatch Greater over a given investment horizon. Check out Wasatch Greater Correlation, Wasatch Greater Volatility and Wasatch Greater Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Wasatch Greater.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Wasatch Greater's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Wasatch Greater is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Wasatch Greater's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Wasatch Greater 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Wasatch Greater's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Wasatch Greater.
0.00
06/09/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 5 months and 24 days
11/30/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Wasatch Greater on June 9, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Wasatch Greater China or generate 0.0% return on investment in Wasatch Greater over 540 days. Wasatch Greater is related to or competes with Wasatch Global, Wasatch Emerging, Wasatch Micro, Wasatch Emerging, and Wasatch Frontier. Under normal circumstances, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in equity securities of companies of ... More

Wasatch Greater Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Wasatch Greater's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Wasatch Greater China upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Wasatch Greater Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Wasatch Greater's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Wasatch Greater's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Wasatch Greater historical prices to predict the future Wasatch Greater's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Wasatch Greater's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.484.726.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.134.376.61
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.094.336.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.624.734.84
Details

Wasatch Greater China Backtested Returns

Wasatch Greater appears to be slightly risky, given 3 months investment horizon. Wasatch Greater China shows Sharpe Ratio of 0.11, which attests that the fund had a 0.11% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Wasatch Greater China, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please utilize Wasatch Greater's Mean Deviation of 1.62, downside deviation of 2.05, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.50) to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. The entity maintains a market beta of -0.44, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Wasatch Greater are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Wasatch Greater is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.27  

Weak reverse predictability

Wasatch Greater China has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Wasatch Greater time series from 9th of June 2023 to 5th of March 2024 and 5th of March 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Wasatch Greater China price movement. The serial correlation of -0.27 indicates that nearly 27.0% of current Wasatch Greater price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.27
Spearman Rank Test-0.13
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.13

Wasatch Greater China lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Wasatch Greater mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Wasatch Greater's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Wasatch Greater returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Wasatch Greater has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Wasatch Greater regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Wasatch Greater mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Wasatch Greater mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Wasatch Greater mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Wasatch Greater Lagged Returns

When evaluating Wasatch Greater's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Wasatch Greater mutual fund have on its future price. Wasatch Greater autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Wasatch Greater autocorrelation shows the relationship between Wasatch Greater mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Wasatch Greater China.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Wasatch Mutual Fund

Wasatch Greater financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wasatch Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wasatch with respect to the benefits of owning Wasatch Greater security.
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