Wells Fargo Advantage Fund Market Value

WARAX Fund  USD 11.59  0.04  0.35%   
Wells Fargo's market value is the price at which a share of Wells Fargo trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Wells Fargo Advantage investors about its performance. Wells Fargo is trading at 11.59 as of the 24th of November 2024; that is 0.35% up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 11.55.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Wells Fargo Advantage and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Wells Fargo over a given investment horizon. Check out Wells Fargo Correlation, Wells Fargo Volatility and Wells Fargo Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Wells Fargo.
For more information on how to buy Wells Mutual Fund please use our How to Invest in Wells Fargo guide.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Wells Fargo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Wells Fargo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Wells Fargo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Wells Fargo 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Wells Fargo's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Wells Fargo.
0.00
12/05/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Wells Fargo on December 5, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Wells Fargo Advantage or generate 0.0% return on investment in Wells Fargo over 720 days. Wells Fargo is related to or competes with Wells Fargo, Wells Fargo, Wells Fargo, Wells Fargo, Wells Fargo, Wells Fargo, and Wells Fargo. Under normal circumstances, fund invests up to 60 percent of the funds total assets in U.S More

Wells Fargo Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Wells Fargo's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Wells Fargo Advantage upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Wells Fargo Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Wells Fargo's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Wells Fargo's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Wells Fargo historical prices to predict the future Wells Fargo's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.2111.5911.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.2111.5911.97
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.1911.5711.94
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.5411.5811.61
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Wells Fargo. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Wells Fargo's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Wells Fargo's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Wells Fargo Advantage.

Wells Fargo Advantage Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Wells Mutual Fund to be very steady. Wells Fargo Advantage shows Sharpe Ratio of 0.0231, which attests that the fund had a 0.0231% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Wells Fargo Advantage, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please check out Wells Fargo's Mean Deviation of 0.3022, market risk adjusted performance of 0.0167, and Downside Deviation of 0.425 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0087%. The entity maintains a market beta of 0.38, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Wells Fargo's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Wells Fargo is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.73  

Good predictability

Wells Fargo Advantage has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Wells Fargo time series from 5th of December 2022 to 30th of November 2023 and 30th of November 2023 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Wells Fargo Advantage price movement. The serial correlation of 0.73 indicates that around 73.0% of current Wells Fargo price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.73
Spearman Rank Test0.71
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.11

Wells Fargo Advantage lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Wells Fargo mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Wells Fargo's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Wells Fargo returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Wells Fargo has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Wells Fargo regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Wells Fargo mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Wells Fargo mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Wells Fargo mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Wells Fargo Lagged Returns

When evaluating Wells Fargo's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Wells Fargo mutual fund have on its future price. Wells Fargo autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Wells Fargo autocorrelation shows the relationship between Wells Fargo mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Wells Fargo Advantage.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Wells Mutual Fund

Wells Fargo financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wells Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wells with respect to the benefits of owning Wells Fargo security.
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