Wcm China Quality Fund Market Value

WCMCX Fund  USD 8.72  0.01  0.11%   
Wcm China's market value is the price at which a share of Wcm China trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Wcm China Quality investors about its performance. Wcm China is trading at 8.72 as of the 30th of November 2024; that is 0.11 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 8.73.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Wcm China Quality and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Wcm China over a given investment horizon. Check out Wcm China Correlation, Wcm China Volatility and Wcm China Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Wcm China.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Wcm China's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Wcm China is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Wcm China's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Wcm China 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Wcm China's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Wcm China.
0.00
06/03/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 30 days
11/30/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Wcm China on June 3, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Wcm China Quality or generate 0.0% return on investment in Wcm China over 180 days. Wcm China is related to or competes with Investment Managers, Wcm Focused, Wcm Focused, Wcm Small, Wcm Sustainable, Wcm Small, and Wcm Focused. Under normal market conditions, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in equity securities of Chinese c... More

Wcm China Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Wcm China's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Wcm China Quality upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Wcm China Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Wcm China's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Wcm China's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Wcm China historical prices to predict the future Wcm China's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Wcm China's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.688.7210.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.768.8010.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.058.0910.13
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.518.728.92
Details

Wcm China Quality Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Wcm Mutual Fund to be not too volatile. Wcm China Quality shows Sharpe Ratio of 0.0925, which attests that the fund had a 0.0925% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Wcm China Quality, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please check out Wcm China's Downside Deviation of 1.95, mean deviation of 1.44, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 2.81 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.19%. The entity maintains a market beta of 0.074, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Wcm China's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Wcm China is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.59  

Good reverse predictability

Wcm China Quality has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Wcm China time series from 3rd of June 2024 to 1st of September 2024 and 1st of September 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Wcm China Quality price movement. The serial correlation of -0.59 indicates that roughly 59.0% of current Wcm China price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.59
Spearman Rank Test-0.08
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.48

Wcm China Quality lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Wcm China mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Wcm China's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Wcm China returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Wcm China has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Wcm China regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Wcm China mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Wcm China mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Wcm China mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Wcm China Lagged Returns

When evaluating Wcm China's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Wcm China mutual fund have on its future price. Wcm China autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Wcm China autocorrelation shows the relationship between Wcm China mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Wcm China Quality.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Wcm Mutual Fund

Wcm China financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wcm Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wcm with respect to the benefits of owning Wcm China security.
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