Wasatch Small Cap Fund Market Value

WMCVX Fund  USD 12.31  0.18  1.48%   
Wasatch Small's market value is the price at which a share of Wasatch Small trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Wasatch Small Cap investors about its performance. Wasatch Small is trading at 12.31 as of the 22nd of November 2024; that is 1.48 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 12.13.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Wasatch Small Cap and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Wasatch Small over a given investment horizon. Check out Wasatch Small Correlation, Wasatch Small Volatility and Wasatch Small Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Wasatch Small.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Wasatch Small's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Wasatch Small is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Wasatch Small's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Wasatch Small 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Wasatch Small's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Wasatch Small.
0.00
10/23/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Wasatch Small on October 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Wasatch Small Cap or generate 0.0% return on investment in Wasatch Small over 30 days. Wasatch Small is related to or competes with Europac Gold, Great-west Goldman, Wells Fargo, Sprott Gold, Gold And, Short Precious, and Gabelli Gold. The investment seeks long-term growth of capital income is a secondary consideration More

Wasatch Small Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Wasatch Small's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Wasatch Small Cap upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Wasatch Small Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Wasatch Small's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Wasatch Small's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Wasatch Small historical prices to predict the future Wasatch Small's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Wasatch Small's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.001.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.091.723.02
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.5211.8213.13
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.0911.9812.87
Details

Wasatch Small Cap Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Wasatch Mutual Fund to be moderately volatile. Wasatch Small Cap shows Sharpe Ratio of 0.0816, which attests that the fund had a 0.0816% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Wasatch Small Cap, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please check out Wasatch Small's Downside Deviation of 1.09, mean deviation of 0.8786, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 7.92 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.11%. The entity maintains a market beta of 0.0122, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Wasatch Small's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Wasatch Small is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.16  

Insignificant reverse predictability

Wasatch Small Cap has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Wasatch Small time series from 23rd of October 2024 to 7th of November 2024 and 7th of November 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Wasatch Small Cap price movement. The serial correlation of -0.16 indicates that over 16.0% of current Wasatch Small price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.16
Spearman Rank Test-0.41
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.04

Wasatch Small Cap lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Wasatch Small mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Wasatch Small's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Wasatch Small returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Wasatch Small has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Wasatch Small regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Wasatch Small mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Wasatch Small mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Wasatch Small mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Wasatch Small Lagged Returns

When evaluating Wasatch Small's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Wasatch Small mutual fund have on its future price. Wasatch Small autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Wasatch Small autocorrelation shows the relationship between Wasatch Small mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Wasatch Small Cap.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Wasatch Mutual Fund

Wasatch Small financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wasatch Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wasatch with respect to the benefits of owning Wasatch Small security.
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