Western Union (Brazil) Market Value
| WUNI34 Stock | BRL 64.44 0.60 0.94% |
| Symbol | Western |
Western Union 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Western Union's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Western Union.
| 10/29/2024 |
| 11/28/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Western Union on October 29, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding The Western Union or generate 0.0% return on investment in Western Union over 30 days. Western Union is related to or competes with Metalurgica Gerdau, Metalrgica Riosulense, SVB Financial, Telecomunicaes Brasileiras, Sumitomo Mitsui, Align Technology, and MAHLE Metal. The Western Union Company provides money movement and payment services worldwide More
Western Union Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Western Union's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess The Western Union upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.11) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.69 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.68) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.24 |
Western Union Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Western Union's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Western Union's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Western Union historical prices to predict the future Western Union's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.02) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.03) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.32) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1989 |
Western Union Backtested Returns
Western Union shows Sharpe Ratio of -0.0362, which attests that the company had a -0.0362% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Western Union exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Western Union's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2089, mean deviation of 0.899, and Standard Deviation of 1.66 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The firm maintains a market beta of -0.35, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Western Union are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Western Union is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Western Union has a negative expected return of -0.0599%. Please make sure to check out Western Union's jensen alpha, treynor ratio, and the relationship between the information ratio and total risk alpha , to decide if Western Union performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.51 |
Good reverse predictability
The Western Union has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Western Union time series from 29th of October 2024 to 13th of November 2024 and 13th of November 2024 to 28th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Western Union price movement. The serial correlation of -0.51 indicates that about 51.0% of current Western Union price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.51 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.01 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1.19 |
Western Union lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Western Union stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Western Union's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Western Union returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Western Union has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Western Union regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Western Union stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Western Union stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Western Union stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Western Union Lagged Returns
When evaluating Western Union's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Western Union stock have on its future price. Western Union autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Western Union autocorrelation shows the relationship between Western Union stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in The Western Union.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Western Stock
Western Union financial ratios help investors to determine whether Western Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Western with respect to the benefits of owning Western Union security.