Gelsenwasser (Germany) Market Value

WWG Stock  EUR 520.00  5.00  0.95%   
Gelsenwasser's market value is the price at which a share of Gelsenwasser trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Gelsenwasser AG investors about its performance. Gelsenwasser is trading at 520.00 as of the 27th of November 2024. This is a 0.95 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 520.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Gelsenwasser AG and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Gelsenwasser over a given investment horizon. Check out Gelsenwasser Correlation, Gelsenwasser Volatility and Gelsenwasser Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Gelsenwasser.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Gelsenwasser's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gelsenwasser is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gelsenwasser's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Gelsenwasser 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Gelsenwasser's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Gelsenwasser.
0.00
10/28/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Gelsenwasser on October 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Gelsenwasser AG or generate 0.0% return on investment in Gelsenwasser over 30 days. Gelsenwasser is related to or competes with United Utilities, Guangdong Investment, TTW Public, Superior Plus, SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS, Identiv, and Intel. Gelsenwasser AG supplies gas, electricity, and water to people and businesses in Germany More

Gelsenwasser Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Gelsenwasser's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Gelsenwasser AG upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Gelsenwasser Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Gelsenwasser's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Gelsenwasser's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Gelsenwasser historical prices to predict the future Gelsenwasser's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
517.21520.00522.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
435.48438.27572.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
518.26521.05523.84
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
485.46509.00532.54
Details

Gelsenwasser AG Backtested Returns

Gelsenwasser AG holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0277, which attests that the entity had a -0.0277% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Gelsenwasser AG exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Gelsenwasser's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01), market risk adjusted performance of 0.3133, and Standard Deviation of 2.81 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.27, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Gelsenwasser are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Gelsenwasser is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Gelsenwasser AG has a negative expected return of -0.0772%. Please make sure to check out Gelsenwasser's kurtosis, day typical price, and the relationship between the potential upside and rate of daily change , to decide if Gelsenwasser AG performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.39  

Below average predictability

Gelsenwasser AG has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Gelsenwasser time series from 28th of October 2024 to 12th of November 2024 and 12th of November 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Gelsenwasser AG price movement. The serial correlation of 0.39 indicates that just about 39.0% of current Gelsenwasser price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.39
Spearman Rank Test-0.25
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance98.26

Gelsenwasser AG lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Gelsenwasser stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Gelsenwasser's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Gelsenwasser returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Gelsenwasser has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Gelsenwasser regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Gelsenwasser stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Gelsenwasser stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Gelsenwasser stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Gelsenwasser Lagged Returns

When evaluating Gelsenwasser's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Gelsenwasser stock have on its future price. Gelsenwasser autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Gelsenwasser autocorrelation shows the relationship between Gelsenwasser stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Gelsenwasser AG.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Gelsenwasser Stock

Gelsenwasser financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gelsenwasser Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gelsenwasser with respect to the benefits of owning Gelsenwasser security.