XAAR PLC (Germany) Market Value

XAR Stock  EUR 0.91  0.01  1.09%   
XAAR PLC's market value is the price at which a share of XAAR PLC trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of XAAR PLC LS 10 investors about its performance. XAAR PLC is trading at 0.91 as of the 23rd of November 2024. This is a 1.09% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 0.91.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of XAAR PLC LS 10 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in XAAR PLC over a given investment horizon. Check out XAAR PLC Correlation, XAAR PLC Volatility and XAAR PLC Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on XAAR PLC.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between XAAR PLC's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if XAAR PLC is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, XAAR PLC's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

XAAR PLC 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to XAAR PLC's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of XAAR PLC.
0.00
10/24/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in XAAR PLC on October 24, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding XAAR PLC LS 10 or generate 0.0% return on investment in XAAR PLC over 30 days. XAAR PLC is related to or competes with KENNAMETAL INC, Perseus Mining, Zijin Mining, LION ONE, and ITALIAN WINE. More

XAAR PLC Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure XAAR PLC's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess XAAR PLC LS 10 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

XAAR PLC Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for XAAR PLC's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as XAAR PLC's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use XAAR PLC historical prices to predict the future XAAR PLC's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.050.913.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.040.843.22
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.020.893.28
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.900.910.92
Details

XAAR PLC LS Backtested Returns

XAAR PLC LS retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.22, which attests that the company had a -0.22% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. XAAR PLC exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out XAAR PLC's Mean Deviation of 1.9, information ratio of (0.28), and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.86) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The firm owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.62, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, XAAR PLC's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding XAAR PLC is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, XAAR PLC LS has a negative expected return of -0.53%. Please make sure to check out XAAR PLC's standard deviation, maximum drawdown, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the total risk alpha and potential upside , to decide if XAAR PLC LS performance from the past will be repeated in the future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.63  

Good predictability

XAAR PLC LS 10 has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between XAAR PLC time series from 24th of October 2024 to 8th of November 2024 and 8th of November 2024 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of XAAR PLC LS price movement. The serial correlation of 0.63 indicates that roughly 63.0% of current XAAR PLC price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.63
Spearman Rank Test0.61
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

XAAR PLC LS lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is XAAR PLC stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting XAAR PLC's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of XAAR PLC returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that XAAR PLC has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

XAAR PLC regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If XAAR PLC stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if XAAR PLC stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in XAAR PLC stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

XAAR PLC Lagged Returns

When evaluating XAAR PLC's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of XAAR PLC stock have on its future price. XAAR PLC autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, XAAR PLC autocorrelation shows the relationship between XAAR PLC stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in XAAR PLC LS 10.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in XAAR Stock

XAAR PLC financial ratios help investors to determine whether XAAR Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in XAAR with respect to the benefits of owning XAAR PLC security.