Xilam Animation (France) Market Value

XIL Stock  EUR 4.01  0.02  0.50%   
Xilam Animation's market value is the price at which a share of Xilam Animation trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Xilam Animation investors about its performance. Xilam Animation is trading at 4.01 as of the 1st of December 2024, a 0.50% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 3.99.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Xilam Animation and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Xilam Animation over a given investment horizon. Check out Xilam Animation Correlation, Xilam Animation Volatility and Xilam Animation Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Xilam Animation.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Xilam Animation's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Xilam Animation is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Xilam Animation's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Xilam Animation 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Xilam Animation's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Xilam Animation.
0.00
09/02/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
12/01/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Xilam Animation on September 2, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Xilam Animation or generate 0.0% return on investment in Xilam Animation over 90 days. Xilam Animation is related to or competes with BigBen Interactive, Trigano SA, Lumibird, Chargeurs, and Mersen SA. It produces and distributes childrens and family entertainment content in 2D and 3D formats for TV, film, and digital me... More

Xilam Animation Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Xilam Animation's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Xilam Animation upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Xilam Animation Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Xilam Animation's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Xilam Animation's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Xilam Animation historical prices to predict the future Xilam Animation's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.824.016.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.944.126.32
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.753.946.13
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.683.894.10
Details

Xilam Animation Backtested Returns

Xilam Animation shows Sharpe Ratio of -0.036, which attests that the company had a -0.036% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Xilam Animation exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Xilam Animation's Mean Deviation of 1.54, standard deviation of 2.19, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.80) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The firm maintains a market beta of 0.12, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Xilam Animation's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Xilam Animation is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Xilam Animation has a negative expected return of -0.0787%. Please make sure to check out Xilam Animation's accumulation distribution, and the relationship between the potential upside and day median price , to decide if Xilam Animation performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.05  

Very weak reverse predictability

Xilam Animation has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Xilam Animation time series from 2nd of September 2024 to 17th of October 2024 and 17th of October 2024 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Xilam Animation price movement. The serial correlation of -0.05 indicates that only as little as 5.0% of current Xilam Animation price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.05
Spearman Rank Test0.13
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

Xilam Animation lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Xilam Animation stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Xilam Animation's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Xilam Animation returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Xilam Animation has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Xilam Animation regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Xilam Animation stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Xilam Animation stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Xilam Animation stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Xilam Animation Lagged Returns

When evaluating Xilam Animation's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Xilam Animation stock have on its future price. Xilam Animation autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Xilam Animation autocorrelation shows the relationship between Xilam Animation stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Xilam Animation.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Xilam Stock

Xilam Animation financial ratios help investors to determine whether Xilam Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Xilam with respect to the benefits of owning Xilam Animation security.