Mfs Municipal Income Fund Market Value

XMFMX Fund  USD 6.27  0.02  0.32%   
Mfs Municipal's market value is the price at which a share of Mfs Municipal trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Mfs Municipal Income investors about its performance. Mfs Municipal is trading at 6.27 as of the 1st of December 2024; that is 0.32 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 6.25.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Mfs Municipal Income and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Mfs Municipal over a given investment horizon. Check out Mfs Municipal Correlation, Mfs Municipal Volatility and Mfs Municipal Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Mfs Municipal.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Mfs Municipal's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mfs Municipal is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mfs Municipal's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Mfs Municipal 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Mfs Municipal's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Mfs Municipal.
0.00
11/01/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/01/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Mfs Municipal on November 1, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Mfs Municipal Income or generate 0.0% return on investment in Mfs Municipal over 30 days. Mfs Municipal is related to or competes with Vanguard Total, Vanguard 500, Vanguard Total, Vanguard Total, Vanguard Total, Vanguard Total, and Vanguard 500. Mfs Municipal is entity of United States More

Mfs Municipal Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Mfs Municipal's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Mfs Municipal Income upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Mfs Municipal Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Mfs Municipal's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Mfs Municipal's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Mfs Municipal historical prices to predict the future Mfs Municipal's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.896.276.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.565.946.32
Details

Mfs Municipal Income Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Mfs Mutual Fund to be very steady. Mfs Municipal Income has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0416, which conveys that the entity had a 0.0416% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Mfs Municipal, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please verify Mfs Municipal's Mean Deviation of 0.2302, risk adjusted performance of 0.0258, and Downside Deviation of 0.591 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0157%. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.11, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Mfs Municipal are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Mfs Municipal is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.44  

Average predictability

Mfs Municipal Income has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Mfs Municipal time series from 1st of November 2024 to 16th of November 2024 and 16th of November 2024 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Mfs Municipal Income price movement. The serial correlation of 0.44 indicates that just about 44.0% of current Mfs Municipal price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.44
Spearman Rank Test0.44
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Mfs Municipal Income lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Mfs Municipal mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Mfs Municipal's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Mfs Municipal returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Mfs Municipal has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Mfs Municipal regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Mfs Municipal mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Mfs Municipal mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Mfs Municipal mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Mfs Municipal Lagged Returns

When evaluating Mfs Municipal's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Mfs Municipal mutual fund have on its future price. Mfs Municipal autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Mfs Municipal autocorrelation shows the relationship between Mfs Municipal mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Mfs Municipal Income.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Mfs Mutual Fund

Mfs Municipal financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mfs Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mfs with respect to the benefits of owning Mfs Municipal security.
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