Mainstay Defined Term Fund Market Value

XMMDX Fund  USD 17.09  0.02  0.12%   
Mainstay Defined's market value is the price at which a share of Mainstay Defined trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Mainstay Defined Term investors about its performance. Mainstay Defined is trading at 17.09 as of the 11th of December 2024; that is 0.12 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 17.11.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Mainstay Defined Term and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Mainstay Defined over a given investment horizon. Check out Mainstay Defined Correlation, Mainstay Defined Volatility and Mainstay Defined Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Mainstay Defined.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Mainstay Defined's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mainstay Defined is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mainstay Defined's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Mainstay Defined 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Mainstay Defined's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Mainstay Defined.
0.00
11/11/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/11/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Mainstay Defined on November 11, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Mainstay Defined Term or generate 0.0% return on investment in Mainstay Defined over 30 days. Mainstay Defined is related to or competes with Ab Small, Omni Small, T Rowe, Rbb Fund, L Abbett, Issachar Fund, and Balanced Fund. Mainstay Defined is entity of United States More

Mainstay Defined Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Mainstay Defined's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Mainstay Defined Term upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Mainstay Defined Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Mainstay Defined's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Mainstay Defined's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Mainstay Defined historical prices to predict the future Mainstay Defined's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mainstay Defined's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.8217.0917.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.9316.2018.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16.8217.0917.36
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.6516.9117.16
Details

Mainstay Defined Term Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Mainstay Mutual Fund to be very steady. Mainstay Defined Term has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0013, which conveys that the entity had a 0.0013% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Mainstay Defined, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please verify Mainstay Defined's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01), downside deviation of 0.3729, and Mean Deviation of 0.1624 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 4.0E-4%. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.0968, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Mainstay Defined are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Mainstay Defined is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.49  

Average predictability

Mainstay Defined Term has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Mainstay Defined time series from 11th of November 2024 to 26th of November 2024 and 26th of November 2024 to 11th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Mainstay Defined Term price movement. The serial correlation of 0.49 indicates that about 49.0% of current Mainstay Defined price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.49
Spearman Rank Test0.08
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Mainstay Defined Term lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Mainstay Defined mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Mainstay Defined's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Mainstay Defined returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Mainstay Defined has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Mainstay Defined regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Mainstay Defined mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Mainstay Defined mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Mainstay Defined mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Mainstay Defined Lagged Returns

When evaluating Mainstay Defined's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Mainstay Defined mutual fund have on its future price. Mainstay Defined autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Mainstay Defined autocorrelation shows the relationship between Mainstay Defined mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Mainstay Defined Term.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Mainstay Mutual Fund

Mainstay Defined financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mainstay Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mainstay with respect to the benefits of owning Mainstay Defined security.
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