Yamaha (Germany) Market Value

YMA Stock  EUR 8.14  0.05  0.62%   
Yamaha's market value is the price at which a share of Yamaha trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Yamaha Motor Co investors about its performance. Yamaha is trading at 8.14 as of the 25th of November 2024. This is a 0.62 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 8.14.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Yamaha Motor Co and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Yamaha over a given investment horizon. Check out Yamaha Correlation, Yamaha Volatility and Yamaha Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Yamaha.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Yamaha's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Yamaha is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Yamaha's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Yamaha 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Yamaha's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Yamaha.
0.00
10/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Yamaha on October 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Yamaha Motor Co or generate 0.0% return on investment in Yamaha over 30 days. Yamaha is related to or competes with TFS FINANCIAL, JSC Halyk, Webster Financial, Chiba Bank, JAPAN TOBACCO, QBE Insurance, and Commonwealth Bank. Yamaha Motor Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, develops, produces, and sells motorcycles, marine products, powe... More

Yamaha Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Yamaha's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Yamaha Motor Co upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Yamaha Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Yamaha's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Yamaha's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Yamaha historical prices to predict the future Yamaha's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.258.1410.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.916.808.69
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.087.979.86
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.958.218.46
Details

Yamaha Motor Backtested Returns

At this point, Yamaha is somewhat reliable. Yamaha Motor shows Sharpe Ratio of 0.0652, which attests that the company had a 0.0652% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Yamaha Motor, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please check out Yamaha's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.4043, mean deviation of 1.4, and Downside Deviation of 2.2 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.12%. Yamaha has a performance score of 5 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm maintains a market beta of 0.19, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Yamaha's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Yamaha is expected to be smaller as well. Yamaha Motor right now maintains a risk of 1.89%. Please check out Yamaha Motor sortino ratio, potential upside, skewness, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and semi variance , to decide if Yamaha Motor will be following its historical returns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.43  

Modest reverse predictability

Yamaha Motor Co has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Yamaha time series from 26th of October 2024 to 10th of November 2024 and 10th of November 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Yamaha Motor price movement. The serial correlation of -0.43 indicates that just about 43.0% of current Yamaha price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.43
Spearman Rank Test-0.33
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Yamaha Motor lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Yamaha stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Yamaha's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Yamaha returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Yamaha has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Yamaha regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Yamaha stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Yamaha stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Yamaha stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Yamaha Lagged Returns

When evaluating Yamaha's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Yamaha stock have on its future price. Yamaha autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Yamaha autocorrelation shows the relationship between Yamaha stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Yamaha Motor Co.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Yamaha Stock

Yamaha financial ratios help investors to determine whether Yamaha Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Yamaha with respect to the benefits of owning Yamaha security.