Fidelity National (Germany) Market Value

ZGY Stock   78.84  0.89  1.14%   
Fidelity National's market value is the price at which a share of Fidelity National trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Fidelity National Information investors about its performance. Fidelity National is selling for under 78.84 as of the 1st of February 2025; that is 1.14 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's last reported lowest price was 78.54.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Fidelity National Information and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Fidelity National over a given investment horizon. Check out Fidelity National Correlation, Fidelity National Volatility and Fidelity National Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Fidelity National.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Fidelity National's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fidelity National is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fidelity National's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Fidelity National 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Fidelity National's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Fidelity National.
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01/02/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
02/01/2025
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If you would invest  0.00  in Fidelity National on January 2, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Fidelity National Information or generate 0.0% return on investment in Fidelity National over 30 days. Fidelity National is related to or competes with United Natural, CAL MAINE, Cal Maine, TITANIUM TRANSPORTGROUP, and Transport International. More

Fidelity National Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Fidelity National's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Fidelity National Information upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Fidelity National Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Fidelity National's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Fidelity National's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Fidelity National historical prices to predict the future Fidelity National's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fidelity National's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
77.6778.8480.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
65.2966.4686.72
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
79.6080.7681.93
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
74.1077.2880.46
Details

Fidelity National Backtested Returns

Fidelity National secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0372, which denotes the company had a -0.0372 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Fidelity National Information exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Fidelity National's Standard Deviation of 1.12, mean deviation of 0.8569, and Variance of 1.25 to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.22, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Fidelity National are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Fidelity National is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Fidelity National has a negative expected return of -0.043%. Please make sure to confirm Fidelity National's kurtosis, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and day median price , to decide if Fidelity National performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.15  

Insignificant reverse predictability

Fidelity National Information has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Fidelity National time series from 2nd of January 2025 to 17th of January 2025 and 17th of January 2025 to 1st of February 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Fidelity National price movement. The serial correlation of -0.15 indicates that less than 15.0% of current Fidelity National price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.15
Spearman Rank Test-0.3
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.62

Fidelity National lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Fidelity National stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Fidelity National's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Fidelity National returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Fidelity National has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Fidelity National regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Fidelity National stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Fidelity National stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Fidelity National stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Fidelity National Lagged Returns

When evaluating Fidelity National's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Fidelity National stock have on its future price. Fidelity National autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Fidelity National autocorrelation shows the relationship between Fidelity National stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Fidelity National Information.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

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Additional Tools for Fidelity Stock Analysis

When running Fidelity National's price analysis, check to measure Fidelity National's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fidelity National is operating at the current time. Most of Fidelity National's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fidelity National's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fidelity National's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fidelity National to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.