SPDR SP (Germany) Market Value

ZPDM Etf  EUR 43.59  0.17  0.39%   
SPDR SP's market value is the price at which a share of SPDR SP trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of SPDR SP Materials investors about its performance. SPDR SP is trading at 43.59 as of the 30th of November 2024. This is a 0.39 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The etf's lowest day price was 43.4.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of SPDR SP Materials and determine expected loss or profit from investing in SPDR SP over a given investment horizon. Check out SPDR SP Correlation, SPDR SP Volatility and SPDR SP Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on SPDR SP.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between SPDR SP's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SPDR SP is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SPDR SP's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

SPDR SP 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to SPDR SP's etf what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of SPDR SP.
0.00
06/09/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 5 months and 24 days
11/30/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in SPDR SP on June 9, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding SPDR SP Materials or generate 0.0% return on investment in SPDR SP over 540 days. SPDR SP is related to or competes with UBS Fund, Xtrackers, Xtrackers Nikkei, IShares VII, Vanguard Funds, IShares Core, and IShares Core. Materials Select Sector UCITS ETF is to track the performance of large cap U.S More

SPDR SP Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure SPDR SP's etf current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess SPDR SP Materials upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

SPDR SP Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for SPDR SP's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as SPDR SP's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use SPDR SP historical prices to predict the future SPDR SP's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
42.7043.5944.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
42.2243.1144.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
43.3044.1945.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
41.8643.2144.56
Details

SPDR SP Materials Backtested Returns

At this point, SPDR SP is very steady. SPDR SP Materials owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.11, which indicates the etf had a 0.11% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for SPDR SP Materials, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the etf. Please validate SPDR SP's coefficient of variation of 878.32, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0884 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0936%. The entity has a beta of 0.14, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, SPDR SP's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding SPDR SP is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.61  

Good predictability

SPDR SP Materials has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between SPDR SP time series from 9th of June 2023 to 5th of March 2024 and 5th of March 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of SPDR SP Materials price movement. The serial correlation of 0.61 indicates that roughly 61.0% of current SPDR SP price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.61
Spearman Rank Test0.49
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.44

SPDR SP Materials lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is SPDR SP etf's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting SPDR SP's etf expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of SPDR SP returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that SPDR SP has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the etf is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

SPDR SP regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If SPDR SP etf is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if SPDR SP etf is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in SPDR SP etf over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

SPDR SP Lagged Returns

When evaluating SPDR SP's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of SPDR SP etf have on its future price. SPDR SP autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, SPDR SP autocorrelation shows the relationship between SPDR SP etf current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in SPDR SP Materials.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in SPDR Etf

SPDR SP financial ratios help investors to determine whether SPDR Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SPDR with respect to the benefits of owning SPDR SP security.