INDOFOOD AGRI (Germany) Market Value

ZVF Stock  EUR 0.22  0.01  4.35%   
INDOFOOD AGRI's market value is the price at which a share of INDOFOOD AGRI trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of INDOFOOD AGRI RES investors about its performance. INDOFOOD AGRI is trading at 0.22 as of the 22nd of November 2024, a 4.35 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 0.22.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of INDOFOOD AGRI RES and determine expected loss or profit from investing in INDOFOOD AGRI over a given investment horizon. Check out INDOFOOD AGRI Correlation, INDOFOOD AGRI Volatility and INDOFOOD AGRI Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on INDOFOOD AGRI.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between INDOFOOD AGRI's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if INDOFOOD AGRI is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, INDOFOOD AGRI's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

INDOFOOD AGRI 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to INDOFOOD AGRI's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of INDOFOOD AGRI.
0.00
10/23/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in INDOFOOD AGRI on October 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding INDOFOOD AGRI RES or generate 0.0% return on investment in INDOFOOD AGRI over 30 days. INDOFOOD AGRI is related to or competes with Apple, Apple, Apple, Apple, Microsoft, Microsoft, and Microsoft. More

INDOFOOD AGRI Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure INDOFOOD AGRI's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess INDOFOOD AGRI RES upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

INDOFOOD AGRI Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for INDOFOOD AGRI's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as INDOFOOD AGRI's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use INDOFOOD AGRI historical prices to predict the future INDOFOOD AGRI's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.222.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.182.53
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.222.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.210.220.23
Details

INDOFOOD AGRI RES Backtested Returns

At this point, INDOFOOD AGRI is out of control. INDOFOOD AGRI RES holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0739, which attests that the entity had a 0.0739% return per unit of return volatility over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for INDOFOOD AGRI RES, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please check out INDOFOOD AGRI's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (1.38), semi deviation of 1.56, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.086 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.17%. INDOFOOD AGRI has a performance score of 5 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.17, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning INDOFOOD AGRI are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, INDOFOOD AGRI is likely to outperform the market. INDOFOOD AGRI RES now retains a risk of 2.35%. Please check out INDOFOOD AGRI jensen alpha, sortino ratio, and the relationship between the information ratio and total risk alpha , to decide if INDOFOOD AGRI will be following its current trending patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.25  

Weak reverse predictability

INDOFOOD AGRI RES has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between INDOFOOD AGRI time series from 23rd of October 2024 to 7th of November 2024 and 7th of November 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of INDOFOOD AGRI RES price movement. The serial correlation of -0.25 indicates that over 25.0% of current INDOFOOD AGRI price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.25
Spearman Rank Test0.07
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

INDOFOOD AGRI RES lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is INDOFOOD AGRI stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting INDOFOOD AGRI's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of INDOFOOD AGRI returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that INDOFOOD AGRI has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

INDOFOOD AGRI regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If INDOFOOD AGRI stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if INDOFOOD AGRI stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in INDOFOOD AGRI stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

INDOFOOD AGRI Lagged Returns

When evaluating INDOFOOD AGRI's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of INDOFOOD AGRI stock have on its future price. INDOFOOD AGRI autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, INDOFOOD AGRI autocorrelation shows the relationship between INDOFOOD AGRI stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in INDOFOOD AGRI RES.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in INDOFOOD Stock

INDOFOOD AGRI financial ratios help investors to determine whether INDOFOOD Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in INDOFOOD with respect to the benefits of owning INDOFOOD AGRI security.