First Trust Active Etf Performance

AFSM Etf  USD 34.68  0.19  0.54%   
The etf shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.16, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, First Trust's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding First Trust is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Trust Active are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very unsteady basic indicators, First Trust may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more
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First Trust Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,200  in First Trust Active on November 7, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  268.00  from holding First Trust Active or generate 8.38% return on investment over 90 days. First Trust Active is currently generating 0.1389% in daily expected returns and assumes 0.986% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 8% of etfs are less volatile than First, and 98% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Trust is expected to generate 1.31 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.31 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.14 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for First Trust Active extending back to December 04, 2019. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of First Trust stands at 34.68, as last reported on the 5th of February, with the highest price reaching 34.85 and the lowest price hitting 34.29 during the day.
3 y Volatility
18.14
200 Day MA
31.4253
1 y Volatility
13.35
50 Day MA
33.6247
Inception Date
2019-12-03
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

First Trust Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of First Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 34.68 90 days 34.68 
about 8.58
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First Trust to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 8.58 (This First Trust Active probability density function shows the probability of First Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Trust has a beta of 0.16. This suggests as returns on the market go up, First Trust average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding First Trust Active will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally First Trust Active has an alpha of 0.1013, implying that it can generate a 0.1 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   First Trust Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for First Trust

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Trust Active. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of First Trust's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
33.6934.6835.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
33.2534.2435.23
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
33.0534.0435.03
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
33.1634.2835.39
Details

First Trust Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First Trust is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First Trust's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First Trust Active, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Trust within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.10
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.16
σ
Overall volatility
1.09
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

First Trust Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of First Trust for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for First Trust Active can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: First Trust Active Factor Small Cap ETF NY AFSM - The Chronicle-Journal
The fund holds 99.58% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

First Trust Fundamentals Growth

First Etf prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of First Trust, and First Trust fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on First Etf performance.

About First Trust Performance

By examining First Trust's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into First Trust's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that First Trust is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Under normal market conditions, the fund will invest at least 80 percent of its net assets in U.S. FT Active is traded on NYSEARCA Exchange in the United States.
Latest headline from news.google.com: First Trust Active Factor Small Cap ETF NY AFSM - The Chronicle-Journal
The fund holds 99.58% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
When determining whether First Trust Active is a strong investment it is important to analyze First Trust's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact First Trust's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding First Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in First Trust Active. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.
Investors evaluate First Trust Active using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating First Trust's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause First Trust's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that First Trust's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether First Trust represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, First Trust's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.