Aldel Financial Ii Stock Performance

ALDFW Stock   0.55  0.05  8.33%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.19, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Aldel Financial will likely underperform. At this point, Aldel Financial II has a negative expected return of -0.2%. Please make sure to confirm Aldel Financial's standard deviation, expected short fall, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and rate of daily change , to decide if Aldel Financial II performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Aldel Financial II has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unsteady performance in the last few months, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain fairly stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The latest fuss may also be a sign of long-term up-swing for the venture sophisticated investors. ...more
1
Will Aldel Financial II Inc. stock return to pre crisis levels - 2025 Year in Review Short-Term Trading Opportunity Alerts - newser.com
11/20/2025
2
Short Covering May Lift McLeod Russel India Limited in Near Term - Low Beta Stocks Zero-Cost Stock Research by Professionals - bollywoodhelpline.com
01/07/2026
3
Can Aldel Financial II Inc. Debt Equity Composite Units stock sustain revenue growth - Rate Cut Weekly Watchlist of Top Performers - mfd.ru
02/09/2026

Aldel Financial Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  69.00  in Aldel Financial II on November 17, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (14.00) from holding Aldel Financial II or give up 20.29% of portfolio value over 90 days. Aldel Financial II is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 8.1377% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 73% of traded stocks are less volatile than Aldel, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Aldel Financial is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 10.65 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.02 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of volatility.

Aldel Financial Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Aldel Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.55 90 days 0.55 
about 62.91
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aldel Financial to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 62.91 (This Aldel Financial II probability density function shows the probability of Aldel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.19 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Aldel Financial will likely underperform. Additionally Aldel Financial II has an alpha of 0.3379, implying that it can generate a 0.34 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Aldel Financial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Aldel Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aldel Financial II. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.548.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.478.61
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Aldel Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Aldel Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Aldel Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Aldel Financial II.

Aldel Financial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aldel Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aldel Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aldel Financial II, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aldel Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.34
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.19
σ
Overall volatility
0.06
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Aldel Financial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aldel Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aldel Financial II can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Aldel Financial II generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Aldel Financial II has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Aldel Financial II has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Latest headline from news.google.com: Can Aldel Financial II Inc. Debt Equity Composite Units stock sustain revenue growth - Rate Cut Weekly Watchlist of Top Performers - mfd.ru

Aldel Financial Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aldel Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aldel Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aldel Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Short Prior Month6865
Shares Float18.1 M

Aldel Financial Fundamentals Growth

Aldel Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Aldel Financial, and Aldel Financial fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Aldel Stock performance.

About Aldel Financial Performance

Evaluating Aldel Financial's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Aldel Financial has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Aldel Financial has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year

Things to note about Aldel Financial II performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Aldel Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Aldel Financial II help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Aldel Financial II generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Aldel Financial II has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Aldel Financial II has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Latest headline from news.google.com: Can Aldel Financial II Inc. Debt Equity Composite Units stock sustain revenue growth - Rate Cut Weekly Watchlist of Top Performers - mfd.ru
Evaluating Aldel Financial's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Aldel Financial's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Aldel Financial's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Aldel Financial's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Aldel Financial's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Aldel Financial's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Aldel Financial's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Aldel Financial's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Aldel Financial's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Aldel Financial's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Aldel Financial's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Aldel Stock Analysis

When running Aldel Financial's price analysis, check to measure Aldel Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aldel Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Aldel Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aldel Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aldel Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aldel Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.