Assured Guaranty (Germany) Performance

DHU Stock  EUR 86.50  1.00  1.17%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Assured Guaranty holds a performance score of 8. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.77, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Assured Guaranty will likely underperform. Please check Assured Guaranty's potential upside, skewness, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and semi variance , to make a quick decision on whether Assured Guaranty's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Assured Guaranty are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile basic indicators, Assured Guaranty reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow298 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities23 M
  

Assured Guaranty Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  7,224  in Assured Guaranty on September 14, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,426  from holding Assured Guaranty or generate 19.74% return on investment over 90 days. Assured Guaranty is currently producing 0.3263% returns and takes up 3.1685% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 28% of traded stocks are less volatile than Assured, and 94% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
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Assuming the 90 days horizon Assured Guaranty is expected to generate 4.31 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 4.31 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.1 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.

Assured Guaranty Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Assured Guaranty's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Assured Guaranty, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Assured Guaranty's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.103

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Estimated Market Risk

 3.17
  actual daily
28
72% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 0.33
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94% of assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

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8
92% of assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Assured Guaranty is performing at about 8% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Assured Guaranty by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

Assured Guaranty Fundamentals Growth

Assured Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Assured Guaranty, and Assured Guaranty fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Assured Stock performance.

About Assured Guaranty Performance

By analyzing Assured Guaranty's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Assured Guaranty's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Assured Guaranty has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Assured Guaranty has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Assured Guaranty Ltd., through its subsidiaries, provides credit protection products to public finance, infrastructure, and structured finance markets in the United States and internationally. The company was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Hamilton, Bermuda. ASSURED GUARANTY operates under Insurance - Specialty classification in Germany and is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange. It employs 312 people.

Things to note about Assured Guaranty performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Assured Guaranty for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Assured Guaranty help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Assured Guaranty had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Assured Guaranty has accumulated 1.67 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 19.8, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Assured Guaranty has a current ratio of 0.65, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Assured Guaranty until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Assured Guaranty's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Assured Guaranty sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Assured to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Assured Guaranty's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Assured Guaranty has accumulated about 850 M in cash with (1.94 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 8.38.
Over 90.0% of Assured Guaranty shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Evaluating Assured Guaranty's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Assured Guaranty's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Assured Guaranty's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Assured Guaranty's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Assured Guaranty's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Assured Guaranty's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Assured Guaranty's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Assured Guaranty's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Assured Guaranty's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Assured Guaranty's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Assured Guaranty's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Assured Stock analysis

When running Assured Guaranty's price analysis, check to measure Assured Guaranty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Assured Guaranty is operating at the current time. Most of Assured Guaranty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Assured Guaranty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Assured Guaranty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Assured Guaranty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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