Fidelity Trafund Class Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

FCNKX Fund  USD 22.16  0.14  0.64%   
The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.87, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Fidelity Contrafund returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Fidelity Contrafund is expected to follow.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

13 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Fidelity Trafund Class are ranked lower than 13 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak forward-looking signals, Fidelity Contrafund may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.
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Expense Ratio0.3200
  

Fidelity Contrafund Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,020  in Fidelity Trafund Class on September 1, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  196.00  from holding Fidelity Trafund Class or generate 9.7% return on investment over 90 days. Fidelity Trafund Class is currently producing 0.1484% returns and takes up 0.8585% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 7% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Fidelity, and 98% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Fidelity Contrafund is expected to generate 1.01 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.14 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.17 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.2 per unit of volatility.

Fidelity Contrafund Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
22.16
Please note that Fidelity Contrafund's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be fairly valued. Fidelity Trafund Class shows a prevailing Real Value of $21.87 per share. The current price of the fund is $22.16. We determine the value of Fidelity Trafund Class from reviewing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we advise acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will submerge.
Since Fidelity Contrafund is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Fidelity Mutual Fund. However, Fidelity Contrafund's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  22.16 Real  21.87 Hype  22.24 Naive  22.16
The intrinsic value of Fidelity Contrafund's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Fidelity Contrafund's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
21.87
Real Value
22.73
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Fidelity Trafund Class helps investors to forecast how Fidelity mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Fidelity Contrafund more accurately as focusing exclusively on Fidelity Contrafund's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
21.6221.9522.28
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.3822.2423.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
21.3122.1623.02
Details

Fidelity Contrafund Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Fidelity Contrafund's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Fidelity Trafund Class, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Fidelity Contrafund's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.1729

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Estimated Market Risk

 0.86
  actual daily
7
93% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 0.15
  actual daily
2
98% of assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 0.17
  actual daily
13
87% of assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Fidelity Contrafund is performing at about 13% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Fidelity Contrafund by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

Fidelity Contrafund Fundamentals Growth

Fidelity Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Fidelity Contrafund, and Fidelity Contrafund fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Fidelity Mutual Fund performance.

About Fidelity Contrafund Performance

Evaluating Fidelity Contrafund's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Fidelity Contrafund has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Fidelity Contrafund has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund normally invests primarily in common stocks. It invests in securities of companies whose value the advisor believes is not fully recognized by the public. The fund invests in domestic and foreign issuers. It invests in either growth stocks or value stocks or both. The advisor uses fundamental analysis of factors such as each issuers financial condition and industry position, as well as market and economic conditions to select investments.

Things to note about Fidelity Trafund Class performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fidelity Contrafund for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Fidelity Trafund Class help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Evaluating Fidelity Contrafund's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Fidelity Contrafund's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Fidelity Contrafund's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Fidelity Contrafund's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Fidelity Contrafund's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Fidelity Contrafund's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Fidelity Contrafund's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Fidelity Contrafund's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Fidelity Contrafund's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Fidelity Contrafund's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Fidelity Contrafund's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Fidelity Mutual Fund

Fidelity Contrafund financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fidelity Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fidelity with respect to the benefits of owning Fidelity Contrafund security.
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