Greif Bros Stock Performance

GEF Stock  USD 73.96  1.48  1.96%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Greif Bros holds a performance score of 22. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.9, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Greif Bros returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Greif Bros is expected to follow. Please check Greif Bros' coefficient of variation, maximum drawdown, skewness, as well as the relationship between the total risk alpha and downside variance , to make a quick decision on whether Greif Bros' current trending patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Greif Bros are ranked lower than 22 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly unfluctuating technical and fundamental indicators, Greif Bros reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
4.24
Five Day Return
8.34
Year To Date Return
10.21
Ten Year Return
190.15
All Time Return
6.6 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0307
Payout Ratio
0.5878
Last Split Factor
2:1
Forward Dividend Rate
2.2
Dividend Date
2026-01-01
1
Acquisition by Lawrence Hilsheimer of 2796 shares of Greif Bros at 64.2 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/12/2025
2
Acquisition by Lawrence Hilsheimer of 1589 shares of Greif Bros at 67.03 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/13/2025
3
Disposition of 4500 shares by Lawrence Hilsheimer of Greif Bros at 60.72 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/17/2025
4
Acquisition by Lawrence Hilsheimer of 1125 shares of Greif Bros at 65.4889 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/20/2025
5
Disposition of tradable shares by Lawrence Hilsheimer of Greif Bros subject to Rule 16b-3
12/03/2025
6
Disposition of 9733 shares by Ole Rosgaard of Greif Bros at 70.24 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/15/2025
7
Acquisition by Karen Morrison of tradable shares of Greif Bros subject to Rule 16b-3
01/02/2026
8
Disposition of 2000 shares by Timothy Bergwall of Greif Bros at 71.5359 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/12/2026
9
Disposition of 256 shares by Matt Leahy of Greif Bros subject to Rule 16b-3
01/14/2026
10
Greif Bros. Sees Strong Trading Volume - Whats Next - MarketBeat
01/15/2026
11
Acquisition by Hoffman Leonard Dennis Jr of 1391 shares of Greif Bros subject to Rule 16b-3
01/16/2026
12
Greif Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
01/26/2026
13
Greif Issues Quarterly Earnings Results, Misses Expectations By 0.15 EPS
01/27/2026
14
Greif Q1 Earnings Call Highlights
01/28/2026
15
Greif EPS Surge To US3.76 Tests Skeptical One Off Earnings Narratives
01/29/2026
16
Disposition of 256 shares by Alexander Johansson of Greif Bros subject to Rule 16b-3
02/02/2026
17
Greif Valuation Check After Strong Q1 Net Income Jump Despite Softer Sales
02/03/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow197.7 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities1.6 B

Greif Bros Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  5,800  in Greif Bros on November 7, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,652  from holding Greif Bros or generate 28.49% return on investment over 90 days. Greif Bros is generating 0.423% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.5107% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 13% of stocks are less volatile than Greif, and above 92% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Greif Bros is expected to generate 1.98 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.98 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.28 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of risk.

Greif Bros Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Greif Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 73.96 90 days 73.96 
about 7.82
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Greif Bros to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 7.82 (This Greif Bros probability density function shows the probability of Greif Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Greif Bros has a beta of 0.9. This usually indicates Greif Bros market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Greif Bros is expected to follow. Additionally Greif Bros has an alpha of 0.3963, implying that it can generate a 0.4 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Greif Bros Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Greif Bros

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Greif Bros. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Greif Bros' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
72.8774.3875.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
67.0881.4582.96
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
72.8274.3375.84
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
72.4479.6088.36
Details

Greif Bros Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Greif Bros is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Greif Bros' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Greif Bros, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Greif Bros within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.40
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.90
σ
Overall volatility
5.30
Ir
Information ratio 0.27

Greif Bros Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Greif Bros for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Greif Bros can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Greif Bros has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Greif Valuation Check After Strong Q1 Net Income Jump Despite Softer Sales

Greif Bros Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Greif Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Greif Bros' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Greif Bros' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding47.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments256.7 M

Greif Bros Fundamentals Growth

Greif Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Greif Bros, and Greif Bros fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Greif Stock performance.

About Greif Bros Performance

By analyzing Greif Bros' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Greif Bros' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Greif Bros has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Greif Bros has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 42.37  29.20 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.07  0.06 
Return On Capital Employed 0.06  0.11 
Return On Assets 0.04  0.06 
Return On Equity 0.13  0.10 

Things to note about Greif Bros performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Greif Bros for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Greif Bros help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Greif Bros has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Greif Valuation Check After Strong Q1 Net Income Jump Despite Softer Sales
Evaluating Greif Bros' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Greif Bros' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Greif Bros' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Greif Bros' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Greif Bros' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Greif Bros' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Greif Bros' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Greif Bros' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Greif Bros' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Greif Bros' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Greif Bros' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Greif Bros' price analysis, check to measure Greif Bros' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Greif Bros is operating at the current time. Most of Greif Bros' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Greif Bros' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Greif Bros' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Greif Bros to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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