| IMAT Index | | | 6,701 123.36 1.81% |
The index shows a Beta (market volatility) of
0.0, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. the returns on MARKET and Basic Materials are completely uncorrelated.
Basic Materials Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest
565,006 in Basic Materials on
November 4, 2025 and sell it today you would
earn a total of 105,055 from holding Basic Materials or generate
18.59% return on investment over
90 days. Basic Materials is generating 0.291% of daily returns and assumes 1.139% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 10% of indexs are less volatile than Basic, and 95% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Basic Materials is expected to generate 1.53 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.53 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.26 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of risk.
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Basic Materials extending back to May 19, 2011. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Basic Materials stands at
6,701, as last reported on the 2nd of February, with the highest price reaching
6,837 and the lowest price hitting
6,667 during the day.
Yuan Drop | Covid | Interest Hikes |
Basic Materials Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Basic Index price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 6,701 | 90 days | 6,701 | |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Basic Materials to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 5.84 (This Basic Materials probability density function shows the probability of Basic Index to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Basic Materials Price Density |
Predictive Modules for Basic Materials
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Basic Materials. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the index market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the index market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Basic Materials Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Basic Materials is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Basic Materials' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Basic Materials, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Basic Materials within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.