Nlight Inc Stock Performance

LASR Stock  USD 54.59  3.47  6.79%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, NLIGHT holds a performance score of 15. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 2.07, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, NLIGHT will likely underperform. Please check NLIGHT's downside variance, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and accumulation distribution , to make a quick decision on whether NLIGHT's current price movements will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in nLIGHT Inc are ranked lower than 15 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively fragile basic indicators, NLIGHT reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
10.91
Five Day Return
13.27
Year To Date Return
33.23
Ten Year Return
89.68
All Time Return
89.68
1
Disposition of 9625 shares by Scott Keeney of NLIGHT at 33.78 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/03/2025
2
Electronic Components Stocks Q3 Teardown Vishay Precision Vs The Rest
12/08/2025
3
Disposition of 2075 shares by Joseph Corso of NLIGHT at 36.86 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/15/2025
4
Acquisition by Locke Gary of 807 shares of NLIGHT subject to Rule 16b-3
01/02/2026
5
Insider Trading
01/05/2026
6
nLIGHT Provides Update on Preliminary Fourth Quarter 2025 Financial Results
01/13/2026
7
All You Need to Know About nLight Rating Upgrade to Buy
01/16/2026
8
nLight Inc Trading 7.68 percent Higher on Jan 20 - GuruFocus
01/20/2026
9
Assessing Whether nLIGHT Looks Slightly Overvalued After Its Recent Share Price Momentum
01/23/2026
10
nLIGHT, Inc. Expands High-Energy Laser Manufacturing Capacity
01/28/2026
11
nLIGHTs Capacity Expansion for Defense Lasers Might Change The Case For Investing In nLIGHT
02/02/2026
12
nLIGHT, Inc. Announces Pricing of Public Offering of Common Stock
02/04/2026
13
nLIGHT, Inc. to Present at TD Cowens Annual Aerospace Defense Conference
02/06/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow53.5 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities16.7 M

NLIGHT Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,478  in nLIGHT Inc on November 11, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,981  from holding nLIGHT Inc or generate 56.96% return on investment over 90 days. nLIGHT Inc is currently generating 0.8115% in daily expected returns and assumes 4.0518% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 36% of stocks are less volatile than NLIGHT, and 84% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days NLIGHT is expected to generate 5.06 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 5.06 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.2 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of risk.

NLIGHT Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of NLIGHT Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 54.59 90 days 54.59 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NLIGHT to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This nLIGHT Inc probability density function shows the probability of NLIGHT Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.07 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, NLIGHT will likely underperform. Additionally NLIGHT Inc has an alpha of 0.6176, implying that it can generate a 0.62 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   NLIGHT Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for NLIGHT

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as nLIGHT Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NLIGHT's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
44.6348.6152.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
43.7947.7751.75
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
43.6848.0053.28
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.040.070.10
Details

NLIGHT Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NLIGHT is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NLIGHT's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold nLIGHT Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NLIGHT within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.62
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.07
σ
Overall volatility
5.69
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

NLIGHT Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NLIGHT for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for nLIGHT Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
nLIGHT Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 198.55 M. Net Loss for the year was (60.79 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 54.14 M.
nLIGHT Inc currently holds about 120.63 M in cash with (2.36 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.67.
Over 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: nLIGHT, Inc. to Present at TD Cowens Annual Aerospace Defense Conference

NLIGHT Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of NLIGHT Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential NLIGHT's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NLIGHT's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding47.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments100.7 M

NLIGHT Fundamentals Growth

NLIGHT Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of NLIGHT, and NLIGHT fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on NLIGHT Stock performance.

About NLIGHT Performance

Assessing NLIGHT's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into NLIGHT's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the NLIGHT is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 80.97  92.30 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.27)(0.26)
Return On Capital Employed(0.32)(0.30)
Return On Assets(0.26)(0.25)
Return On Equity(0.32)(0.31)

Things to note about nLIGHT Inc performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about NLIGHT for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for nLIGHT Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
nLIGHT Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 198.55 M. Net Loss for the year was (60.79 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 54.14 M.
nLIGHT Inc currently holds about 120.63 M in cash with (2.36 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.67.
Over 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: nLIGHT, Inc. to Present at TD Cowens Annual Aerospace Defense Conference
Evaluating NLIGHT's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate NLIGHT's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing NLIGHT's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether NLIGHT's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining NLIGHT's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating NLIGHT's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of NLIGHT's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of NLIGHT's stock. These opinions can provide insight into NLIGHT's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating NLIGHT's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact NLIGHT's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for NLIGHT Stock Analysis

When running NLIGHT's price analysis, check to measure NLIGHT's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NLIGHT is operating at the current time. Most of NLIGHT's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NLIGHT's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NLIGHT's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NLIGHT to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.