Luceco Plc (UK) Performance

LUCE Stock   133.60  4.20  0.34%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Luceco Plc holds a performance score of 18. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.0509, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Luceco Plc are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Luceco Plc is likely to outperform the market. Please check Luceco Plc's semi deviation, coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the downside deviation and standard deviation , to make a quick decision on whether Luceco Plc's current price movements will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Luceco plc are ranked lower than 18 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively uncertain basic indicators, Luceco Plc unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow4.6 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-45.6 M
  

Luceco Plc Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  13,480  in Luceco plc on December 1, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  4,320  from holding Luceco plc or generate 32.05% return on investment over 90 days. Luceco plc is generating 0.4621% of daily returns and assumes 2.0231% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 18% of stocks are less volatile than Luceco, and 91% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Luceco Plc is expected to generate 2.69 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.69 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.23 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of risk.

Luceco Plc Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Luceco Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 178.00 90 days 178.00 
about 5.38
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Luceco Plc to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 5.38 (This Luceco plc probability density function shows the probability of Luceco Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Luceco plc has a beta of -0.0509. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Luceco Plc are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Luceco plc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Luceco plc has an alpha of 0.4562, implying that it can generate a 0.46 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Luceco Plc Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Luceco Plc

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Luceco plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
175.52177.54179.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
165.57167.59195.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
167.48169.51171.53
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
178.00178.00178.00
Details

Luceco Plc Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Luceco Plc is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Luceco Plc's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Luceco plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Luceco Plc within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.46
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.05
σ
Overall volatility
19.49
Ir
Information ratio 0.18

Luceco Plc Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Luceco Plc for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Luceco plc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 53.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Luceco Plc Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Luceco Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Luceco Plc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Luceco Plc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding154.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments4.5 M

Luceco Plc Fundamentals Growth

Luceco Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Luceco Plc, and Luceco Plc fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Luceco Stock performance.

About Luceco Plc Performance

Assessing Luceco Plc's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Luceco Plc's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Luceco Plc is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.

Things to note about Luceco plc performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Luceco Plc for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Luceco plc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 53.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Evaluating Luceco Plc's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Luceco Plc's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Luceco Plc's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Luceco Plc's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Luceco Plc's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Luceco Plc's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Luceco Plc's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Luceco Plc's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Luceco Plc's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Luceco Plc's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Luceco Plc's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Luceco Stock Analysis

When running Luceco Plc's price analysis, check to measure Luceco Plc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Luceco Plc is operating at the current time. Most of Luceco Plc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Luceco Plc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Luceco Plc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Luceco Plc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.