Ontrak Inc Stock Performance
| OTRK Stock | USD 1.80 0.05 2.70% |
The company holds a Beta of 0.65, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Ontrak's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Ontrak is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Ontrak Inc has a negative expected return of -0.47%. Please make sure to check Ontrak's maximum drawdown, accumulation distribution, as well as the relationship between the Accumulation Distribution and market facilitation index , to decide if Ontrak Inc performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
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Over the last 90 days Ontrak Inc has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite conflicting performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors. ...more
Last Split Factor 1:15 | Dividend Date 2017-04-25 | Last Split Date 2024-09-23 |
1 | Acquisition by Brandon LaVerne of 7000000 shares of Ontrak at 0.2227 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 09/10/2024 |
2 | Acquisition by Terren Peizer of 8888889 shares of Ontrak at 0.45 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 09/11/2024 |
3 | Ontrak Health Demonstrates Significant Improvement in Members Quality of Life from ReQoL Mental Health Assessment | 09/12/2024 |
4 | Acquisition by Terren Peizer of 13333333 shares of Ontrak at 0.45 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 09/13/2024 |
5 | Ontrak, Inc. Announces Reverse Stock Split | 09/19/2024 |
6 | Acquisition by Terren Peizer of tradable shares of Ontrak subject to Rule 16b-3 | 09/30/2024 |
7 | Ontrak Health Collaborates with Major Northeast Regional Plan to Bridge HEDIS Care Gaps Using Ontrak Quality Solution | 10/09/2024 |
8 | Ontrak files offering of common stock | 10/18/2024 |
9 | Ontrak, Inc. May Report Negative Earnings Know the Trend Ahead of Next Weeks Release | 11/06/2024 |
10 | Ontrak Health Announces 2024 Third Quarter Financial Results | 11/13/2024 |
11 | ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC Acquires New Stake in Ontrak Inc | 11/15/2024 |
12 | Disposition of 173 shares by Sherman Michael Edward of Ontrak at 1.77 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/20/2024 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 9.7 M |
Ontrak |
Ontrak Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 293.00 in Ontrak Inc on September 2, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (113.00) from holding Ontrak Inc or give up 38.57% of portfolio value over 90 days. Ontrak Inc is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 8.2411% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 73% of stocks are less volatile than Ontrak, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Ontrak Market Risk Analysis
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Ontrak's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Ontrak Inc, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Ontrak's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.
Sharpe Ratio = -0.0567
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| Negative Returns | OTRK |
Estimated Market Risk
| 8.24 actual daily | 73 73% of assets are less volatile |
Expected Return
| -0.47 actual daily | 0 Most of other assets have higher returns |
Risk-Adjusted Return
| -0.06 actual daily | 0 Most of other assets perform better |
Based on monthly moving average Ontrak is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Ontrak by adding Ontrak to a well-diversified portfolio.
Ontrak Fundamentals Growth
Ontrak Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Ontrak, and Ontrak fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Ontrak Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -3.41 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.45 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (2.23) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | (1.65) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 7.73 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 4.22 M | ||||
| Price To Book | 0.66 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.63 X | ||||
| Revenue | 12.74 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 7.05 M | ||||
| EBITDA | (14.42 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (27.92 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 10.05 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 0.39 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 1.69 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.44 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 2.72 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 5.57 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (15.5 M) | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 31.91 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 7.8 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 19.85 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (470.66 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 8.84 M | ||||
About Ontrak Performance
By examining Ontrak's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Ontrak's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Ontrak is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 203.99 | 108.88 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (1.99) | (2.09) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (1.30) | (1.36) | |
| Return On Assets | (1.41) | (1.48) | |
| Return On Equity | (1.96) | (2.05) |
Things to note about Ontrak Inc performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ontrak for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Ontrak Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ontrak Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Ontrak Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Ontrak Inc may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Ontrak Inc has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 12.74 M. Net Loss for the year was (27.92 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 7.05 M. | |
| Ontrak Inc currently holds about 10.05 M in cash with (15.5 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.39. | |
| Ontrak Inc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 46.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC Acquires New Stake in Ontrak Inc |
- Analyzing Ontrak's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Ontrak's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Ontrak's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Ontrak's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Ontrak's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Ontrak's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Ontrak's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Ontrak Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area. You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Is Health Care Providers & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ontrak. If investors know Ontrak will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ontrak listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share 31.91 | Revenue Per Share 4.585 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.17) | Return On Assets (0.45) | Return On Equity (3.41) |
The market value of Ontrak Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ontrak that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ontrak's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ontrak's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ontrak's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ontrak's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ontrak's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ontrak is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ontrak's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.