Defiance Daily Target Etf Performance

SMST Etf   149.79  38.99  35.19%   
The etf shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.17, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Defiance Daily are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Defiance Daily is likely to outperform the market.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Defiance Daily Target are ranked lower than 20 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively weak basic indicators, Defiance Daily unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
1
Acquisition by Mathews Paula M. of 6016 shares of Defiance Daily subject to Rule 16b-3
11/28/2025
2
Acquisition by Morris Timothy S. of 5628 shares of Defiance Daily subject to Rule 16b-3
01/22/2026
3
Anti-Strategy ETFs Climb as MSTR Stock Hits Multi-Year Low - Coinspeaker
02/04/2026

Defiance Daily Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  4,527  in Defiance Daily Target on November 9, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  10,452  from holding Defiance Daily Target or generate 230.88% return on investment over 90 days. Defiance Daily Target is currently generating 2.3645% in daily expected returns and assumes 9.0811% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 81% of etfs are less volatile than Defiance, and 53% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Defiance Daily is expected to generate 11.09 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 11.09 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.26 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.

Defiance Daily Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Defiance Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 149.79 90 days 149.79 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Defiance Daily to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Defiance Daily Target probability density function shows the probability of Defiance Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Defiance Daily Target has a beta of -0.17. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Defiance Daily are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Defiance Daily Target is likely to outperform the market. In addition to that Defiance Daily Target has an alpha of 2.535, implying that it can generate a 2.54 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Defiance Daily Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Defiance Daily

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Defiance Daily Target. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Defiance Daily's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
66.1275.2784.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
60.8069.9579.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
122.15131.31140.46
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
52.1580.29108.42
Details

Defiance Daily Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Defiance Daily is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Defiance Daily's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Defiance Daily Target, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Defiance Daily within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
2.54
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.17
σ
Overall volatility
18.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.27

Defiance Daily Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Defiance Daily for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Defiance Daily Target can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Defiance Daily is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Defiance Daily appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Latest headline from news.google.com: Anti-Strategy ETFs Climb as MSTR Stock Hits Multi-Year Low - Coinspeaker

About Defiance Daily Performance

Assessing Defiance Daily's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Defiance Daily's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Defiance Daily is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Defiance Daily is entity of United States. It is traded as Etf on NASDAQ exchange.
Defiance Daily is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Defiance Daily appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Latest headline from news.google.com: Anti-Strategy ETFs Climb as MSTR Stock Hits Multi-Year Low - Coinspeaker
When determining whether Defiance Daily Target is a strong investment it is important to analyze Defiance Daily's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Defiance Daily's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Defiance Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Defiance Daily Target. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Investors evaluate Defiance Daily Target using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Defiance Daily's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Defiance Daily's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Defiance Daily's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Defiance Daily is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Defiance Daily's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.