Ardagh Packaging Finance Performance

03969AAR1   76.00  17.03  28.88%   
The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of -1.47, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Ardagh are expected to decrease by larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoil, Ardagh is expected to outperform it.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Ardagh Packaging Finance are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat weak basic indicators, Ardagh sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Yield To Maturity10.922
  

Ardagh Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  6,345  in Ardagh Packaging Finance on August 31, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,255  from holding Ardagh Packaging Finance or generate 19.78% return on investment over 90 days. Ardagh Packaging Finance is generating 0.6724% of daily returns and assumes 6.83% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 60% of bonds are less volatile than Ardagh, and 87% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
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Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ardagh is expected to generate 9.11 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 9.11 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.1 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.19 per unit of risk.

Ardagh Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Ardagh's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of bonds, such as Ardagh Packaging Finance, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Ardagh's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.0984

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Estimated Market Risk

 6.83
  actual daily
60
60% of assets are less volatile

Expected Return

 0.67
  actual daily
13
87% of assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 0.1
  actual daily
7
93% of assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Ardagh is performing at about 7% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Ardagh by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

About Ardagh Performance

By analyzing Ardagh's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Ardagh's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Ardagh has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Ardagh has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Ardagh is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Ardagh appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

Other Information on Investing in Ardagh Bond

Ardagh financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ardagh Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ardagh with respect to the benefits of owning Ardagh security.