Vanguard California Intermediate Term Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

VCAIX Fund  USD 11.49  0.02  0.17%   
The entity has a beta of -0.0754, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Vanguard California are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Vanguard California is likely to outperform the market.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

4 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Insignificant
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard California Intermediate Term are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong forward indicators, Vanguard California is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Expense Ratio Date29th of March 2023
Expense Ratio0.1700
  

Vanguard California Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,141  in Vanguard California Intermediate Term on September 1, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  8.00  from holding Vanguard California Intermediate Term or generate 0.7% return on investment over 90 days. Vanguard California Intermediate Term is currently producing 0.0113% returns and takes up 0.1959% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 1% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Vanguard, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard California is expected to generate 13.27 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 3.83 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.2 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Vanguard California Current Valuation

Overvalued
Today
11.49
Please note that Vanguard California's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be overvalued. Vanguard California has a current Real Value of $11.19 per share. The regular price of the fund is $11.49. We determine the value of Vanguard California from inspecting fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will draw towards each other.
Since Vanguard California is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Vanguard Mutual Fund. However, Vanguard California's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  11.49 Real  11.19 Hype  11.49 Naive  11.48
The intrinsic value of Vanguard California's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Vanguard California's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
11.19
Real Value
12.64
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Vanguard California Intermediate Term helps investors to forecast how Vanguard mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Vanguard California more accurately as focusing exclusively on Vanguard California's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.3711.4311.49
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.2911.4911.69
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
11.2811.4811.68
Details

Vanguard California Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Vanguard California's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Vanguard California Intermediate Term, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Vanguard California's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.0576

Best PortfolioBest Equity
Good Returns
Average Returns
Small Returns
CashSmall RiskAverage RiskHigh RiskHuge Risk
Negative ReturnsVCAIX

Estimated Market Risk

 0.2
  actual daily
1
99% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 0.01
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 0.06
  actual daily
4
96% of assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Vanguard California is performing at about 4% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Vanguard California by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

Vanguard California Fundamentals Growth

Vanguard Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Vanguard California, and Vanguard California fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Vanguard Mutual Fund performance.

About Vanguard California Performance

Evaluating Vanguard California's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Vanguard California has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Vanguard California has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund invests primarily in high-quality municipal bonds issued by California state and local governments, as well as by regional governmental and public financing authorities. At least 80 percent of its assets will be invested in securities whose income is exempt from federal and California state taxes. Although the fund has no limitations on the maturities of individual securities, its dollar-weighted average maturity is expected to be between 6 and 12 years. The fund is non-diversified.

Things to note about Vanguard California performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Vanguard California for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Vanguard California help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund keeps most of the net assets in exotic instruments.
Evaluating Vanguard California's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Vanguard California's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Vanguard California's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Vanguard California's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Vanguard California's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Vanguard California's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Vanguard California's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Vanguard California's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Vanguard California's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Vanguard California's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Vanguard California's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Vanguard Mutual Fund

Vanguard California financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vanguard Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vanguard with respect to the benefits of owning Vanguard California security.
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