CGN Nuclear (China) Price Prediction

000881 Stock   7.92  0.20  2.46%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of CGN Nuclear's share price is above 70 at the present time. This suggests that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling CGN, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

75

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of CGN Nuclear's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with CGN Nuclear Technology, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting CGN Nuclear's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.99)
Wall Street Target Price
8.5
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.05)
Using CGN Nuclear hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CGN Nuclear Technology from the perspective of CGN Nuclear response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in CGN Nuclear to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying CGN because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

CGN Nuclear after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 8.01  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out CGN Nuclear Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.837.5610.29
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.077.8010.53
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CGN Nuclear. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CGN Nuclear's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CGN Nuclear's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in CGN Nuclear Technology.

CGN Nuclear After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of CGN Nuclear at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CGN Nuclear or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CGN Nuclear, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

CGN Nuclear Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting CGN Nuclear's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CGN Nuclear's historical news coverage. CGN Nuclear's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.28 and 10.74, respectively. We have considered CGN Nuclear's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
7.92
8.01
After-hype Price
10.74
Upside
CGN Nuclear is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CGN Nuclear Technology is based on 3 months time horizon.

CGN Nuclear Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CGN Nuclear is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CGN Nuclear backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CGN Nuclear, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.47 
2.71
  0.08 
  0.01 
1 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
7.92
8.01
1.14 
1,506  
Notes

CGN Nuclear Hype Timeline

CGN Nuclear Technology is presently traded for 7.92on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. CGN is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 8.01 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 1.14%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.47%. The volatility of related hype on CGN Nuclear is about 18761.54%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.93. The company reported the revenue of 6.35 B. Net Loss for the year was (737.16 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.24 B. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon.
Check out CGN Nuclear Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

CGN Nuclear Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to CGN Nuclear's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CGN Nuclear's future price movements. Getting to know how CGN Nuclear's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CGN Nuclear may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
601899Zijin Mining Group 0.21 2 per month 2.14 (0.03) 3.35 (3.39) 10.10 
600309Wanhua Chemical Group 0.26 2 per month 2.23 (0.02) 3.92 (3.47) 16.38 
600019Baoshan Iron Steel 0.01 3 per month 2.14  0.0005  4.80 (2.68) 17.37 
600547Shandong Gold Mining(0.35)3 per month 0.00 (0.15) 3.52 (3.29) 12.15 
002493Rongsheng Petrochemical Co(0.06)3 per month 2.07 (0) 4.12 (3.38) 15.52 
600010Inner Mongolia BaoTou 0.03 2 per month 2.27  0.12  7.46 (4.00) 19.48 
603260Hoshine Silicon Ind 0.00 0 per month 2.56  0.09  4.90 (4.13) 17.89 
600160Zhejiang Juhua Co 0.21 1 per month 2.42  0.04  5.26 (4.85) 14.99 
000807Yunnan Aluminium Co(0.18)1 per month 2.27  0.07  4.73 (3.27) 15.53 

CGN Nuclear Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine CGN price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CGN using various technical indicators. When you analyze CGN charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About CGN Nuclear Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of CGN Nuclear stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as CGN Nuclear Technology, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of CGN Nuclear based on analysis of CGN Nuclear hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to CGN Nuclear's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to CGN Nuclear's related companies.

Story Coverage note for CGN Nuclear

The number of cover stories for CGN Nuclear depends on current market conditions and CGN Nuclear's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CGN Nuclear is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CGN Nuclear's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

CGN Nuclear Short Properties

CGN Nuclear's future price predictability will typically decrease when CGN Nuclear's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CGN Nuclear Technology often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CGN Nuclear's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CGN Nuclear's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding945.4 M

Complementary Tools for CGN Stock analysis

When running CGN Nuclear's price analysis, check to measure CGN Nuclear's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CGN Nuclear is operating at the current time. Most of CGN Nuclear's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CGN Nuclear's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CGN Nuclear's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CGN Nuclear to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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