Guangdong Advertising (China) Price Prediction

002400 Stock   7.72  0.30  4.04%   
The relative strength momentum indicator of Guangdong Advertising's share price is above 70 at the present time. This suggests that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Guangdong, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

71

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Guangdong Advertising's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Guangdong Advertising Co, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Guangdong Advertising's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.446
Wall Street Target Price
3.88
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.672
Using Guangdong Advertising hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Guangdong Advertising Co from the perspective of Guangdong Advertising response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Guangdong Advertising to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Guangdong because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Guangdong Advertising after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 8.17  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Guangdong Advertising Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.877.2211.57
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.937.2811.63
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

Guangdong Advertising After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Guangdong Advertising at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Guangdong Advertising or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Guangdong Advertising, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Guangdong Advertising Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Guangdong Advertising's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Guangdong Advertising's historical news coverage. Guangdong Advertising's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.82 and 12.52, respectively. We have considered Guangdong Advertising's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
7.72
8.17
After-hype Price
12.52
Upside
Guangdong Advertising is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Guangdong Advertising is based on 3 months time horizon.

Guangdong Advertising Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Guangdong Advertising is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Guangdong Advertising backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Guangdong Advertising, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.95 
4.35
  0.45 
  0.12 
2 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
7.72
8.17
5.83 
925.53  
Notes

Guangdong Advertising Hype Timeline

Guangdong Advertising is presently traded for 7.72on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.45, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.12. Guangdong is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 8.17 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 5.83%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.95%. The volatility of related hype on Guangdong Advertising is about 3536.59%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.84. Guangdong Advertising generates positive cash flow from operations, but has no cash availableAssuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Guangdong Advertising Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Guangdong Advertising Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Guangdong Advertising's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Guangdong Advertising's future price movements. Getting to know how Guangdong Advertising's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Guangdong Advertising may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
601398Industrial and Commercial 0.04 2 per month 1.58 (0.06) 2.83 (3.06) 8.14 
601288Agricultural Bank of(0.15)1 per month 1.97 (0.06) 3.21 (3.89) 8.24 
601939China Construction Bank 0.01 2 per month 1.76 (0.04) 3.32 (3.86) 8.64 
601988Bank of China 0.14 3 per month 1.51 (0.03) 2.67 (2.86) 7.70 
601658Postal Savings Bank(0.12)2 per month 1.79  0.01  3.49 (2.84) 9.13 
601328Bank of Communications(0.07)2 per month 0.00 (0.10) 3.26 (3.60) 10.82 
600036China Merchants Bank 1.26 1 per month 1.72  0.04  4.65 (2.56) 13.83 
601166Industrial Bank Co 0.18 1 per month 1.60  0.01  3.84 (2.56) 12.07 
601998China Citic Bank(0.05)2 per month 2.05 (0.02) 3.02 (3.06) 13.33 
600000Shanghai Pudong Development(0.01)1 per month 1.52  0.02  3.69 (2.94) 10.95 

Guangdong Advertising Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Guangdong price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Guangdong using various technical indicators. When you analyze Guangdong charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Guangdong Advertising Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Guangdong Advertising stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Guangdong Advertising Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Guangdong Advertising based on analysis of Guangdong Advertising hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Guangdong Advertising's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Guangdong Advertising's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Guangdong Advertising

The number of cover stories for Guangdong Advertising depends on current market conditions and Guangdong Advertising's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Guangdong Advertising is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Guangdong Advertising's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Guangdong Advertising Short Properties

Guangdong Advertising's future price predictability will typically decrease when Guangdong Advertising's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Guangdong Advertising Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Guangdong Advertising's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Guangdong Advertising's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.7 B

Complementary Tools for Guangdong Stock analysis

When running Guangdong Advertising's price analysis, check to measure Guangdong Advertising's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Guangdong Advertising is operating at the current time. Most of Guangdong Advertising's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Guangdong Advertising's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Guangdong Advertising's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Guangdong Advertising to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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