Xiangcai (China) Price Prediction

600095 Stock   7.25  0.33  4.35%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Xiangcai's the stock price is about 64. This suggests that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 23rd of November 2024. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Xiangcai, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

64

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Xiangcai's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Xiangcai Co, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Xiangcai's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
4.375
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.21)
Using Xiangcai hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Xiangcai Co from the perspective of Xiangcai response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Xiangcai to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Xiangcai because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Xiangcai after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 7.25  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Xiangcai Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.866.139.40
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.977.2410.51
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.020.020.02
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Xiangcai. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Xiangcai's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Xiangcai's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Xiangcai.

Xiangcai After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Xiangcai at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Xiangcai or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Xiangcai, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Xiangcai Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Xiangcai's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Xiangcai's historical news coverage. Xiangcai's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.98 and 10.52, respectively. We have considered Xiangcai's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
7.25
7.25
After-hype Price
10.52
Upside
Xiangcai is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Xiangcai is based on 3 months time horizon.

Xiangcai Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Xiangcai is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Xiangcai backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Xiangcai, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.39 
3.27
 0.00  
  0.08 
0 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
7.25
7.25
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Xiangcai Hype Timeline

Xiangcai is presently traded for 7.25on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.08. Xiangcai is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.39%. %. The volatility of related hype on Xiangcai is about 1676.92%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.17. About 71.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.83. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Xiangcai last dividend was issued on the 27th of May 2024. The entity had 16.6:10 split on the 27th of July 2006. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Xiangcai Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Xiangcai Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Xiangcai's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Xiangcai's future price movements. Getting to know how Xiangcai's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Xiangcai may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
002605Shanghai Yaoji Playing(2.06)1 per month 3.34  0.18  9.98 (6.01) 19.99 
300651Jiangsu Jinling Sports 0.00 0 per month 2.71  0.07  4.19 (3.10) 26.52 
601921Zhejiang Publishing Media 0.96 1 per month 4.22 (0.03) 3.56 (7.31) 20.00 
601811Xinhua Winshare Publishing 0.22 1 per month 2.23 (0.03) 2.66 (2.80) 18.36 
600707Caihong Display Devices(0.05)1 per month 2.36  0.06  5.28 (4.27) 16.48 
601019Shandong Publishing Media(0.60)1 per month 0.00 (0.08) 2.85 (3.26) 16.58 
002659Beijing Kaiwen Education 0.14 1 per month 3.19  0.15  7.42 (5.91) 20.05 
600373Chinese Universe Publishing(0.17)3 per month 0.00 (0.04) 3.56 (4.02) 16.64 

Xiangcai Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Xiangcai price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Xiangcai using various technical indicators. When you analyze Xiangcai charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Xiangcai Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Xiangcai stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Xiangcai Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Xiangcai based on analysis of Xiangcai hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Xiangcai's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Xiangcai's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Xiangcai

The number of cover stories for Xiangcai depends on current market conditions and Xiangcai's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Xiangcai is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Xiangcai's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Xiangcai Short Properties

Xiangcai's future price predictability will typically decrease when Xiangcai's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Xiangcai Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Xiangcai's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Xiangcai's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.9 B
Dividends Paid528.7 M
Shares Float811.5 M

Complementary Tools for Xiangcai Stock analysis

When running Xiangcai's price analysis, check to measure Xiangcai's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Xiangcai is operating at the current time. Most of Xiangcai's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Xiangcai's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Xiangcai's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Xiangcai to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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