AUPU Home (China) Price Prediction

603551 Stock   11.23  0.19  1.72%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of AUPU Home's the stock price is about 61. This suggests that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 30th of November 2024. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling AUPU, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

61

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of AUPU Home's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with AUPU Home Style, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting AUPU Home's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.15)
Wall Street Target Price
12.24
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.16)
Using AUPU Home hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of AUPU Home Style from the perspective of AUPU Home response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in AUPU Home to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying AUPU because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

AUPU Home after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 11.23  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out AUPU Home Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.3010.7013.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.7211.1213.52
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as AUPU Home. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against AUPU Home's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, AUPU Home's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in AUPU Home Style.

AUPU Home After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of AUPU Home at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in AUPU Home or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of AUPU Home, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

AUPU Home Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting AUPU Home's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on AUPU Home's historical news coverage. AUPU Home's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.83 and 13.63, respectively. We have considered AUPU Home's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
11.23
11.23
After-hype Price
13.63
Upside
AUPU Home is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of AUPU Home Style is based on 3 months time horizon.

AUPU Home Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as AUPU Home is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AUPU Home backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with AUPU Home, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.36 
2.40
 0.00  
  0.07 
0 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
11.23
11.23
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

AUPU Home Hype Timeline

AUPU Home Style is presently traded for 11.23on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.07. AUPU is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.36%. %. The volatility of related hype on AUPU Home is about 1263.16%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.30. About 72.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The book value of AUPU Home was presently reported as 3.63. The company last dividend was issued on the 30th of September 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out AUPU Home Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

AUPU Home Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to AUPU Home's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict AUPU Home's future price movements. Getting to know how AUPU Home's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how AUPU Home may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

AUPU Home Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine AUPU price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AUPU using various technical indicators. When you analyze AUPU charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About AUPU Home Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of AUPU Home stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as AUPU Home Style, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of AUPU Home based on analysis of AUPU Home hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to AUPU Home's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to AUPU Home's related companies.

Story Coverage note for AUPU Home

The number of cover stories for AUPU Home depends on current market conditions and AUPU Home's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that AUPU Home is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about AUPU Home's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

AUPU Home Short Properties

AUPU Home's future price predictability will typically decrease when AUPU Home's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of AUPU Home Style often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential AUPU Home's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AUPU Home's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding401.5 M

Complementary Tools for AUPU Stock analysis

When running AUPU Home's price analysis, check to measure AUPU Home's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AUPU Home is operating at the current time. Most of AUPU Home's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AUPU Home's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AUPU Home's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AUPU Home to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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