Austral Gold (Australia) Price Prediction
| AGD Stock | 0.02 0 8.00% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
69
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.66) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.33) |
Using Austral Gold hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Austral Gold from the perspective of Austral Gold response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Austral Gold to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Austral because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Austral Gold after-hype prediction price | AUD 0.02 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Austral |
Austral Gold After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Austral Gold at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Austral Gold or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Austral Gold, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Austral Gold Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Austral Gold's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Austral Gold's historical news coverage. Austral Gold's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 7.61, respectively. We have considered Austral Gold's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Austral Gold is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Austral Gold is based on 3 months time horizon.
Austral Gold Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Austral Gold is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Austral Gold backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Austral Gold, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.92 | 7.59 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 2 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.02 | 0.02 | 13.04 |
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Austral Gold Hype Timeline
Austral Gold is presently traded for 0.02on Australian Securities Exchange of Australia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Austral is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.02. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price drop on the next news is expected to be -13.04%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.92%. The volatility of related hype on Austral Gold is about 59696.63%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.01. About 83.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.39. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Austral Gold recorded a loss per share of 0.06. The entity last dividend was issued on the 8th of March 2021. The firm had 1:10 split on the 24th of May 2007. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Austral Gold Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Austral Gold Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Austral Gold's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Austral Gold's future price movements. Getting to know how Austral Gold's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Austral Gold may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NST | Northern Star Resources | (0.01) | 2 per month | 1.83 | 0.09 | 3.53 | (2.65) | 11.36 | |
| EVN | Evolution Mining | 0.02 | 2 per month | 2.03 | 0.06 | 4.17 | (3.23) | 13.39 | |
| BSL | Bluescope Steel | 1.33 | 2 per month | 1.62 | (0.03) | 2.58 | (2.92) | 8.75 | |
| SFR | Sandfire Resources NL | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.77 | 0.05 | 3.29 | (2.69) | 9.61 | |
| ATM | Aneka Tambang Tbk | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 0.00 | (0.97) | 16.07 | |
| PRU | Perseus Mining | 0.05 | 1 per month | 2.14 | (0) | 3.14 | (4.05) | 17.15 | |
| DEG | De Grey Mining | (1.48) | 7 per month | 2.25 | 0.08 | 4.32 | (3.27) | 12.51 |
Austral Gold Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Austral price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Austral using various technical indicators. When you analyze Austral charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Austral Gold Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Austral Gold stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Austral Gold, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Austral Gold based on analysis of Austral Gold hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Austral Gold's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Austral Gold's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Austral Gold
The number of cover stories for Austral Gold depends on current market conditions and Austral Gold's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Austral Gold is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Austral Gold's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Austral Gold Short Properties
Austral Gold's future price predictability will typically decrease when Austral Gold's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Austral Gold often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Austral Gold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Austral Gold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 612.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5 M |
Additional Tools for Austral Stock Analysis
When running Austral Gold's price analysis, check to measure Austral Gold's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Austral Gold is operating at the current time. Most of Austral Gold's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Austral Gold's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Austral Gold's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Austral Gold to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.