Agile Group Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| AGPYY Stock | USD 4.90 0.22 4.30% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
42
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Agile Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Agile Group Holdings from the perspective of Agile Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Agile Group to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Agile because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Agile Group after-hype prediction price | USD 4.9 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Agile |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Agile Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Agile Group After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Agile Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Agile Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Agile Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Agile Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Agile Group's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Agile Group's historical news coverage. Agile Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.25 and 50.28, respectively. We have considered Agile Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Agile Group is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Agile Group Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Agile Group Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Agile Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Agile Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Agile Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
4.55 | 45.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
4.90 | 4.90 | 0.00 |
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Agile Group Hype Timeline
Agile Group Holdings is presently traded for 4.90. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Agile is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 4.55%. %. The volatility of related hype on Agile Group is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.90. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.14. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Agile Group Holdings has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.01. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 7.23. The firm last dividend was issued on the 2nd of September 2021. Agile Group had 1796:1795 split on the 21st of October 2014. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Agile Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Agile Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Agile Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Agile Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Agile Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Agile Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CRBJF | China Resources Land | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.02 | 8.85 | (6.54) | 40.42 | |
| SUHJY | Sun Hung Kai | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.54 | (0.01) | 2.15 | (2.24) | 12.09 | |
| CAOVY | China Overseas Land | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.24 | 0.05 | 7.76 | (5.99) | 33.43 | |
| EGRNF | EGRNF | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.16 | 50.00 | (33.33) | 1,090 | |
| WARFY | Wharf Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.43 | (0.02) | 4.74 | (5.79) | 23.09 | |
| LGFRY | Longfor Properties Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.18 | 0.07 | 13.92 | (9.20) | 54.86 | |
| LNGPF | Longfor Group Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.1 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 35.71 | |
| CTRYY | Country Garden Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.95 | 0.16 | 40.45 | (11.40) | 86.87 | |
| CTRYF | Country Garden Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 50.00 | (37.04) | 350.00 |
Agile Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Agile price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Agile using various technical indicators. When you analyze Agile charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Agile Group Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Agile Group stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Agile Group Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Agile Group based on analysis of Agile Group hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Agile Group's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Agile Group's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Agile Group
The number of cover stories for Agile Group depends on current market conditions and Agile Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Agile Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Agile Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Agile Group Short Properties
Agile Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when Agile Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Agile Group Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Agile Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Agile Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.9 B |
Additional Tools for Agile Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Agile Group's price analysis, check to measure Agile Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Agile Group is operating at the current time. Most of Agile Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Agile Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Agile Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Agile Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.