AST SpaceMobile Price Prediction
| ASTSWDelisted Stock | USD 13.49 2.90 27.38% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
54
Oversold | Overbought |
Using AST SpaceMobile hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of AST SpaceMobile from the perspective of AST SpaceMobile response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in AST SpaceMobile to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying AST because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
AST SpaceMobile after-hype prediction price | USD 13.43 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
AST |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AST SpaceMobile's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
AST SpaceMobile After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of AST SpaceMobile at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in AST SpaceMobile or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of AST SpaceMobile, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
AST SpaceMobile Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting AST SpaceMobile's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on AST SpaceMobile's historical news coverage. AST SpaceMobile's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.94 and 23.92, respectively. We have considered AST SpaceMobile's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
AST SpaceMobile is relatively risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of AST SpaceMobile is based on 3 months time horizon.
AST SpaceMobile Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as AST SpaceMobile is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AST SpaceMobile backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with AST SpaceMobile, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.30 | 10.49 | 0.06 | 0.14 | 7 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
13.49 | 13.43 | 0.44 |
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AST SpaceMobile Hype Timeline
AST SpaceMobile is presently traded for 13.49. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.14. AST is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 13.43. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.44%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.3%. The volatility of related hype on AST SpaceMobile is about 2203.78%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.35. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.AST SpaceMobile Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to AST SpaceMobile's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict AST SpaceMobile's future price movements. Getting to know how AST SpaceMobile's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how AST SpaceMobile may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ORGNW | Origin Materials Warrant | (0.02) | 3 per month | 9.06 | 0.05 | 20.00 | (16.55) | 68.77 | |
| ASTS | Ast Spacemobile | (2.20) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 12.48 | (9.59) | 26.48 | |
| PSFE-WT | Paysafe Ltd Wt | 0.04 | 6 per month | 9.95 | 0.06 | 18.72 | (17.52) | 89.11 | |
| INDIW | Indie Semiconductor Warrant | 0.19 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 8.70 | (9.13) | 21.58 | |
| EVGOW | EVgo Equity Warrants | (0.39) | 2 per month | 7.48 | 0.15 | 27.94 | (14.29) | 187.32 |
AST SpaceMobile Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine AST price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AST using various technical indicators. When you analyze AST charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About AST SpaceMobile Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of AST SpaceMobile stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as AST SpaceMobile, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of AST SpaceMobile based on analysis of AST SpaceMobile hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to AST SpaceMobile's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to AST SpaceMobile's related companies.
Story Coverage note for AST SpaceMobile
The number of cover stories for AST SpaceMobile depends on current market conditions and AST SpaceMobile's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that AST SpaceMobile is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about AST SpaceMobile's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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AST SpaceMobile Short Properties
AST SpaceMobile's future price predictability will typically decrease when AST SpaceMobile's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of AST SpaceMobile often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential AST SpaceMobile's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AST SpaceMobile's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 81.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 88.1 M |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Other Consideration for investing in AST Stock
If you are still planning to invest in AST SpaceMobile check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the AST SpaceMobile's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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