Boston Pizza Royalties Stock Price Prediction
| BPF-UN Stock | CAD 17.41 0.02 0.11% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
48
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.44) | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.53 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.56 | Wall Street Target Price 18.5 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.32 |
Using Boston Pizza hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Boston Pizza Royalties from the perspective of Boston Pizza response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Boston Pizza to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Boston because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Boston Pizza after-hype prediction price | CAD 17.41 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Boston |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Boston Pizza's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Boston Pizza After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Boston Pizza at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Boston Pizza or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Boston Pizza, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Boston Pizza Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Boston Pizza's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Boston Pizza's historical news coverage. Boston Pizza's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.65 and 18.17, respectively. We have considered Boston Pizza's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Boston Pizza is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Boston Pizza Royalties is based on 3 months time horizon.
Boston Pizza Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Boston Pizza is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Boston Pizza backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Boston Pizza, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 0.76 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 3 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
17.41 | 17.41 | 0.00 |
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Boston Pizza Hype Timeline
Boston Pizza Royalties is currently traded for 17.41on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. Boston is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on Boston Pizza is about 723.81%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.42. About 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.3. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Boston Pizza Royalties last dividend was issued on the 21st of November 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Boston Pizza Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Boston Pizza Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Boston Pizza's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Boston Pizza's future price movements. Getting to know how Boston Pizza's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Boston Pizza may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| KEG-UN | The Keg Royalties | 0.1 | 3 per month | 0.72 | (0.11) | 1.01 | (1.17) | 3.76 | |
| PZA | Pizza Pizza Royalty | 0.14 | 3 per month | 0.63 | (0.08) | 1.04 | (1.07) | 3.52 | |
| CHE-UN | Chemtrade Logistics Income | 0.13 | 4 per month | 0.84 | 0.1 | 1.87 | (1.51) | 5.18 | |
| SRV-UN | SIR Royalty Income | 0.05 | 3 per month | 0.98 | (0.06) | 1.51 | (1.62) | 9.69 |
Boston Pizza Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Boston price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Boston using various technical indicators. When you analyze Boston charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Boston Pizza Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Boston Pizza stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Boston Pizza Royalties, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Boston Pizza based on analysis of Boston Pizza hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Boston Pizza's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Boston Pizza's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0673 | 0.0784 | 0.0828 | 0.0857 | Price To Sales Ratio | 9.46 | 7.14 | 6.67 | 9.42 |
Story Coverage note for Boston Pizza
The number of cover stories for Boston Pizza depends on current market conditions and Boston Pizza's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Boston Pizza is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Boston Pizza's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Boston Pizza Short Properties
Boston Pizza's future price predictability will typically decrease when Boston Pizza's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Boston Pizza Royalties often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Boston Pizza's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Boston Pizza's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 24.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.6 M |
Complementary Tools for Boston Stock analysis
When running Boston Pizza's price analysis, check to measure Boston Pizza's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Boston Pizza is operating at the current time. Most of Boston Pizza's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Boston Pizza's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Boston Pizza's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Boston Pizza to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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