Encounter Resources (Australia) Price Prediction

ENR Stock   0.37  0.01  2.63%   
At this time, the relative strength momentum indicator of Encounter Resources' share price is approaching 49 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Encounter Resources, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

49

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Encounter Resources' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Encounter Resources, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Encounter Resources' stock price prediction:
Wall Street Target Price
0.66
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.451
Using Encounter Resources hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Encounter Resources from the perspective of Encounter Resources response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Encounter Resources to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Encounter because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Encounter Resources after-hype prediction price

    
  AUD 0.37  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Encounter Resources Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.324.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.385.01
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.340.380.41
Details

Encounter Resources After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Encounter Resources at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Encounter Resources or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Encounter Resources, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Encounter Resources Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Encounter Resources' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Encounter Resources' historical news coverage. Encounter Resources' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.02 and 5.00, respectively. We have considered Encounter Resources' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.37
0.37
After-hype Price
5.00
Upside
Encounter Resources is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Encounter Resources is based on 3 months time horizon.

Encounter Resources Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Encounter Resources is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Encounter Resources backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Encounter Resources, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.26 
4.63
 0.00  
 0.00  
3 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.37
0.37
0.00 
46,300  
Notes

Encounter Resources Hype Timeline

Encounter Resources is currently traded for 0.37on Australian Securities Exchange of Australia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Encounter is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.26%. %. The volatility of related hype on Encounter Resources is about 51444.44%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.37. About 36.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Encounter Resources was currently reported as 0.08. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.01. Encounter Resources last dividend was issued on the 28th of December 2017. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in about 3 days.
Check out Encounter Resources Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Encounter Resources Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Encounter Resources' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Encounter Resources' future price movements. Getting to know how Encounter Resources' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Encounter Resources may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
KRMKingsrose Mining(0)1 per month 3.81  0  8.57 (7.89) 21.68 
TRMTruscott Mining Corp 0.00 3 per month 0.00  0.07  8.33 (1.67) 39.74 
AGIAinsworth Game Technology(0.02)1 per month 0.00 (0.11) 4.29 (4.05) 14.58 
TLMTalisman Mining(0.01)2 per month 0.00 (0.05) 8.33 (4.55) 18.18 
AKMAspire Mining 0.00 2 per month 0.00 (0.03) 7.14 (6.67) 23.96 
CQECharter Hall Education(0.04)1 per month 0.00 (0.11) 2.26 (1.43) 8.34 
SLBStelar Metals 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.07) 5.88 (6.90) 34.87 
STKStrickland Metals 0.00 4 per month 0.00 (0.13) 6.67 (6.10) 21.32 

Encounter Resources Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Encounter price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Encounter using various technical indicators. When you analyze Encounter charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Encounter Resources Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Encounter Resources stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Encounter Resources, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Encounter Resources based on analysis of Encounter Resources hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Encounter Resources's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Encounter Resources's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Encounter Resources

The number of cover stories for Encounter Resources depends on current market conditions and Encounter Resources' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Encounter Resources is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Encounter Resources' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Encounter Resources Short Properties

Encounter Resources' future price predictability will typically decrease when Encounter Resources' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Encounter Resources often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Encounter Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Encounter Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding410.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments14.1 M

Additional Tools for Encounter Stock Analysis

When running Encounter Resources' price analysis, check to measure Encounter Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Encounter Resources is operating at the current time. Most of Encounter Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Encounter Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Encounter Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Encounter Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.