Almacenes Xito Sa Stock Price Prediction
| EXTO Stock | 3.80 0.02 0.53% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
43
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
Using Almacenes Xito hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Almacenes xito SA from the perspective of Almacenes Xito response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Almacenes Xito to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Almacenes because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Almacenes Xito after-hype prediction price | USD 3.8 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Almacenes |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Almacenes Xito's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Almacenes Xito After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Almacenes Xito at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Almacenes Xito or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Almacenes Xito, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Almacenes Xito Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Almacenes Xito's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Almacenes Xito's historical news coverage. Almacenes Xito's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.81 and 5.79, respectively. We have considered Almacenes Xito's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Almacenes Xito is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Almacenes xito SA is based on 3 months time horizon.
Almacenes Xito Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Almacenes Xito is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Almacenes Xito backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Almacenes Xito, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.16 | 1.99 | 0.01 | 0.10 | 2 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
3.80 | 3.80 | 0.00 |
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Almacenes Xito Hype Timeline
Almacenes xito SA is currently traded for 3.80. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.1. Almacenes is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.16%. %. The volatility of related hype on Almacenes Xito is about 308.53%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.70. About 65.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.42. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Almacenes xito SA last dividend was issued on the 7th of October 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in a few days. Check out Almacenes Xito Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Almacenes Xito Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Almacenes Xito's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Almacenes Xito's future price movements. Getting to know how Almacenes Xito's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Almacenes Xito may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VSCO | Victorias Secret Co | 1.11 | 12 per month | 2.17 | 0.18 | 4.86 | (3.95) | 11.06 | |
| FIGS | Figs Inc | 0.21 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 6.45 | (4.24) | 35.29 | |
| SHOO | Steven Madden | (0.33) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.93 | (2.60) | 8.41 | |
| ALVO | Alvotech | 0.52 | 8 per month | 1.50 | (0.05) | 3.15 | (2.83) | 8.63 | |
| VRA | Vera Bradley | (0.06) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.94 | (3.84) | 12.01 | |
| GAP | The Gap, | 0.49 | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.29 | (4.39) | 8.64 | |
| SNDA | Sonida Senior Living | 1.14 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 5.59 | (4.77) | 12.89 | |
| RL | Ralph Lauren Corp | (8.24) | 8 per month | 1.19 | 0.12 | 2.75 | (2.00) | 10.48 |
Almacenes Xito Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Almacenes price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Almacenes using various technical indicators. When you analyze Almacenes charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Almacenes Xito Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Almacenes Xito stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Almacenes xito SA, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Almacenes Xito based on analysis of Almacenes Xito hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Almacenes Xito's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Almacenes Xito's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.009635 | 0.006547 | 0.009907 | 0.009412 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.86 | 1.76 | 1.71 | 1.79 |
Story Coverage note for Almacenes Xito
The number of cover stories for Almacenes Xito depends on current market conditions and Almacenes Xito's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Almacenes Xito is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Almacenes Xito's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Almacenes Xito Short Properties
Almacenes Xito's future price predictability will typically decrease when Almacenes Xito's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Almacenes xito SA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Almacenes Xito's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Almacenes Xito's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.5 T |
Check out Almacenes Xito Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.
Is Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Almacenes Xito. If investors know Almacenes will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Almacenes Xito listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share 0.04 | Revenue Per Share 128.8 K | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) | Return On Assets 0.0267 | Return On Equity 0.0263 |
The market value of Almacenes xito SA is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Almacenes that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Almacenes Xito's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Almacenes Xito's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Almacenes Xito's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Almacenes Xito's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Almacenes Xito's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Almacenes Xito is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Almacenes Xito's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.